3天市值蒸发超800亿元 立讯精密二次上市关键期 全球布局没挡住关税袭

Core Viewpoint - The recent stock price drop of Luxshare Precision, a leading player in the supply chain for consumer electronics, highlights the volatility in the secondary market amid uncertainties, particularly as the company prepares for a secondary listing that could raise $2 to $3 billion [2][3]. Group 1: Company Performance and Market Position - Luxshare Precision's projected net profit for 2024 is estimated to be between 13.143 billion and 13.691 billion yuan, indicating strong performance despite market concerns [3]. - The company has a significant reliance on Apple, with 70% of its revenue coming from this single client, which poses risks due to high dependency [7]. Group 2: Globalization and Supply Chain Challenges - Luxshare has been expanding its global footprint to mitigate market risks, but recent trade conflicts and tariffs have severely impacted its supply chain, particularly in Vietnam where a 46% tariff could drastically increase production costs [4][8]. - The company's production capabilities in Mexico are limited and also affected by reliance on imported materials from China, further complicating its ability to meet North American demand [4]. Group 3: Impact of Tariffs on Consumer Electronics - The imposition of tariffs on imports from China could lead to an increase in costs for Apple, potentially raising the retail price of the iPhone 16 Pro Max from $1,599 to $2,300, which may reduce consumer demand and negatively impact the supply chain [5]. - The sensitivity of consumers to price increases could limit Luxshare's ability to maintain its market position if costs continue to rise [5]. Group 4: Strategic Shifts and Future Outlook - In response to the risks associated with high dependency on Apple, Luxshare is diversifying its business, including investments in the automotive sector, aiming to become a leading Tier 1 supplier in automotive components within 15 years [7][8]. - The geopolitical landscape and trade policies are creating a challenging environment for Luxshare, potentially shortening the timeframe for its strategic transformation [8].