LUXSHARE-ICT(002475)

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收益率超45%,泉果基金赵诣旗下基金发布三季报
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 01:21
Core Insights - The fund managed by Zhao Yi, the Quan Guo Xu Yuan three-year holding mixed fund, reported a return of 45.58% for its A share in Q3 2023, significantly outperforming the benchmark return of 13.49% [1] - As of the end of Q3, both A and C share net asset values exceeded 1.1 yuan [1] - The fund's stock allocation decreased from 92.42% to 85.50% in Q3, with adjustments made to the heavy stock portfolio [1] Stock Portfolio Adjustments - The fund increased its holdings in Enjie Co., Kuaishou, Tianci Materials, Alibaba, and SMIC, while reducing its positions in CATL, Tencent, Codali, Luxshare Precision, and Yingliu [1] - Tianci Materials saw its stock price double in Q3, with an increase of over 110%, while Luxshare Precision, SMIC, and Codali all experienced gains of over 70% [1] Investment Focus - The fund's investment strategy is concentrated in high-end manufacturing sectors such as new energy, electronics, and mechanical industries, as well as Hong Kong internet companies [4] - In the AI sector, the focus is on efficiency-driven internet leaders, companies driven by new application scenarios, and computing power and cloud service firms [4] - In the new energy sector, the emphasis is on the lithium battery supply chain, with a belief that the current cycle of price and volume increases will be healthier and more sustainable than previous cycles [4]
立讯精密-买入评级:深入探究英伟达人工智能生态系统
2025-10-19 15:58
Summary of Luxshare Precision (002475 CH) Equity Research Report Company Overview - **Company**: Luxshare Precision - **Ticker**: 002475 CH - **Sector**: Electronic Equipment - **Market Cap**: CNY 420,524 million (USD 58,963 million) [7][13] Key Industry Insights - **AI Infrastructure Supply Chain**: Luxshare is expanding its role in the AI infrastructure supply chain, particularly as a supplier of high-speed backplane connectors and copper cables for NVIDIA AI servers [2][3]. - **CPC Technology**: The company's co-packaged copper (CPC) technology is expected to reduce power consumption by 30% and is seen as a preferred alternative for ultra-high-bandwidth interconnects in AI computing [3]. Financial Performance and Projections - **Recent Performance**: Luxshare's share price surged 63% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the CSI300 index, which rose 14% [2]. - **Revenue Growth**: Projected revenue contributions from NVIDIA are expected to reach RMB 1.2 billion, RMB 3.2 billion, and RMB 8.0 billion in 2025-2027, respectively [2]. - **Consumer Electronics**: Strong sales of the iPhone 17 are anticipated, with global sales expected to exceed 90 million units in 2025. This has led to rush orders from Apple [4]. - **Revenue Estimates**: The revenue estimates for Luxshare's consumer electronics and communication segments have been raised by 1-2% for 2026-2027 due to strong demand [4][22]. Valuation and Investment Recommendation - **Target Price**: The target price has been raised to RMB 75.00 from RMB 59.00, implying a potential upside of approximately 30% [5][29]. - **Profit Growth**: A net profit CAGR of 24% is forecasted for 2024-2027, up from a previous estimate of 22% [29]. - **PEG Multiple**: The stock is valued using a PEG multiple based on the average PEG of 1.1x for China's consumer electronics sector [5][29]. Risks and Considerations - **Tariff Concerns**: There are minimal concerns regarding tariff issues due to low direct sales exposure to overseas markets [25]. - **Market Sensitivity**: The company's net profit is sensitive to iPhone and AirPods shipments, with a potential 15% increase in net profit if shipments exceed current assumptions by 20% [27]. - **Operational Challenges**: Potential risks include slower-than-expected ramp-up at new manufacturing plants in Vietnam, which could impact margins [36]. Conclusion Luxshare Precision is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI infrastructure and consumer electronics, supported by strong sales of the iPhone 17 and innovative technologies like CPC. The upward revision of the target price and profit forecasts reflects confidence in the company's growth trajectory, despite some operational and market risks.
转债市场三季度业绩预告怎么看
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-10-19 10:28
Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information regarding the report's industry investment rating provided in the content. Core Viewpoints - As of October 18, 2025, 117 listed companies have disclosed their Q3 earnings forecasts, the lowest in the past five years. About 84% of them announced positive news, similar to 2024. Most companies issued pre - increase announcements (60% of all forecasts). Only 10 convertible bond companies disclosed Q3 earnings forecasts, half the number of 2024, with 9 announcing positive news [2][6][14]. - Basic chemicals, electronics, non - ferrous metals, and machinery industries had more positive news. The non - ferrous metals and media industries showed significant improvement compared to 2024. Seven non - ferrous metal companies announced pre - increase, and 2 announced turnaround; 1 media company announced turnaround and 1 pre - increase [2][8]. - Four convertible bond listed companies, Luxshare, Limin, Bojun, and Downtow, reported positive Q3 earnings for two consecutive years. Luxshare expects a 20% - 25% net profit increase in Q3, Limin may see a year - on - year net profit increase of over 600%, Bojun expects a 50% - 80% net profit increase, and Downtow's Q3 profit may increase by over 30% [2][13][14]. - The market style may be switching, and geopolitical uncertainties increase market volatility. The risk appetite in the convertible bond market may have declined. Selecting high - quality convertible bonds during the earnings season may be a key strategy, especially those with consistently excellent performance [2][14]. Summaries by Directory 1. Q3 Earnings Forecasts: How to View the Convertible Bond Market - The number of listed companies disclosing Q3 earnings forecasts in 2025 is the lowest in the past five years, with a similar structure to 2024. The proportion of companies with positive news is about 84%, the same as in 2024. In the convertible bond market, only 10 companies disclosed forecasts, half the number of 2024, with 9 announcing positive news [2][6][14]. - Basic chemicals, electronics, non - ferrous metals, and machinery are industries with more positive news. Non - ferrous metals and media industries improved significantly compared to 2024. 15 companies mentioned AI contributions in their earnings forecasts, with 14 reporting positive results and most planning to increase AI investment [2][8][11]. - Four convertible bond listed companies had positive Q3 earnings for two consecutive years, with specific reasons for profit growth provided for each company [2][13][14]. 2. One - Week Market Performance - As of Friday's close, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3839.76, down 1.47% for the week; the CSI Convertible Bond Index closed at 474.22, down 2.35% for the week. The top - three rising industries in the stock market were banks (+4.99%), coal (+4.27%), and food and beverages (+0.85%), while electronics (-7.10%), media (-6.28%), and automobiles (-6.24%) declined [15]. - No new convertible bonds were listed this week. 45 convertible bonds rose, accounting for 11%. The top - five and bottom - five in terms of price changes are listed. 266 convertible bonds' conversion premium rates increased, accounting for 64%, and the top - five and bottom - five in terms of valuation changes are also listed [17]. 3. Major Shareholders' Convertible Bond Reductions - Nanjing Pharmaceutical announced a convertible bond reduction this week. A table shows the convertible bonds with high major shareholder holding ratios and their reduction status [25][26][27]. 4. Convertible Bond Issuance Progress - The primary - market approval process remains fast. Zhongqi Co., Ltd. (1.039 billion yuan), Mankun Technology (760 million yuan), and Huatong Cable (800 million yuan) have board proposals. Haitian Co., Ltd. (801 million yuan) has passed the shareholders' meeting, and Tianzhun Technology (872 million yuan) has received CSRC approval [27][28]. 5. Private EB Project Updates There were no progress updates on private EB projects this week [28]. 6. Style & Strategy: Large - Scale High - Rating Bonds Prevailed This Week - Using month - end rebalancing for back - testing and excluding bonds rated below A - and those with announced forced redemptions, large - scale high - rating convertible bonds prevailed this week. High - rating bonds had a 2.63pct excess return over low - rating bonds, large - scale bonds had a 1.89pct excess return over small - scale bonds, and equity - biased bonds had a - 8.24pct excess return over debt - biased bonds [29]. 7. One - Week Convertible Bond Valuation Performance: Convertible Bond Valuations Declined - The convertible bond market's 100 - yuan premium rate declined. As of the last trading day of the week, it closed at 29.31%, down 0.29% from the previous week, at the 86.5% historical percentile in the past six months and 93.6% in the past year. The median full - scope conversion premium rate increased by 0.78pct to 28.61%, and the market - value - weighted conversion premium rate (excluding banks) increased by 1.69pct to 41.46% [40]. - For equity - biased convertible bonds, the median conversion premium rate closed at 10.58%, down 1.12pct from the previous week, at the 80.6% historical percentile in the past six months. For debt - biased convertible bonds, the median pure - debt premium rate closed at 10.78%, down 1.43pct from the previous week, at the 71.4% historical percentile in the past six months [40]. - In terms of extreme pricing, as of the last trading day of the week, there was 1 convertible bond below par value, 0 below the bond floor, and 2 with a YTM greater than 3, at the 9.2%, 0%, and 6.7% historical percentiles since 2016 respectively. The median YTM of bank convertible bonds was - 3.97%, 5.84pct lower than the 3 - year AAA corporate bond yield; the median YTM of AA - to AA+ debt - biased convertible bonds was - 1.48%, 3.59pct lower than the 3 - year AA corporate bond yield [44]. - The adjusted 100 - yuan premium rate remained flat. After excluding factors such as bond nature and remaining term, it was at the 84.3% historical percentile in the past six months and 68.9% since 2018. Considering only the bond floor, it was at the 82.6% historical percentile in the past six months and 34.8% since 2018 [56].
257.03亿元主力资金今日撤离电子板块
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-10-17 10:09
Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.95% on October 17, with the power equipment and electronics sectors experiencing the largest declines of 4.99% and 4.17%, respectively [1] Group 1: Electronic Industry Performance - The electronic industry saw a decline of 4.17%, with a net outflow of 25.703 billion yuan in main capital throughout the day [1] - Out of 468 stocks in the electronic sector, only 30 stocks rose, with 3 hitting the daily limit, while 435 stocks fell, with 5 hitting the lower limit [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow were Wanrun Technology (net inflow of 397 million yuan), Huatian Technology (376 million yuan), and Tengjing Technology (210 million yuan) [1] Group 2: Electronic Industry Capital Outflow - The stocks with the highest capital outflow included Luxshare Precision (-6.27%, net outflow of 1.646 billion yuan), SMIC (-4.18%, net outflow of 1.432 billion yuan), and Industrial Fulian (-5.63%, net outflow of 1.374 billion yuan) [2] - Other notable stocks with significant outflows included Deep Technology (-9.99%, net outflow of 793 million yuan) and Tongfu Microelectronics (-9.46%, net outflow of 682 million yuan) [2] Group 3: Related ETFs - The Consumer Electronics ETF (product code: 159732) tracks the Guozheng Consumer Electronics Theme Index and has seen a decline of 8.76% over the past five days [4] - The ETF has a price-to-earnings ratio of 47.62 times and a total of 3.45 billion shares, with a recent increase of 24 million shares and a net outflow of 10.672 million yuan in main capital [4]
立讯精密成交额达100亿元,现跌6.28%。
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 07:08
Core Insights - Luxshare Precision achieved a transaction volume of 10 billion yuan, but the stock price has dropped by 6.28% [1] Group 1 - The company reported a significant transaction volume of 10 billion yuan, indicating strong business activity [1] - Despite the high transaction volume, the company's stock experienced a decline of 6.28%, suggesting potential market concerns or profit-taking [1]
主力资金监控:中际旭创净买入超14亿
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 06:38
转自:智通财经 【主力资金监控:中际旭创净买入超14亿】智通财经10月17日电,智通财经星矿数据显示,今日主力资 金净流入贵金属、纺服行业、机场等板块,净流出电子、电新行业、半导体等板块,其中电子板块净流 出超203亿元。个股方面,中际旭创上涨,主力资金净买入14.35亿元位居首位,N道生、东信和平、万 润科技主力资金净流入居前;阳光电源遭净卖出超14亿元位居首位,比亚迪、立讯精密、英维克主力资 金净流出额居前。 ...
立讯精密股价跌5.02%,宝盈基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有2.83万股浮亏损失8.41万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 05:57
Core Viewpoint - Luxshare Precision experienced a decline of 5.02% on October 17, with a stock price of 56.23 CNY per share and a total market capitalization of 409.46 billion CNY [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. is located in Dongguan, Guangdong Province, China, and was established on May 24, 2004, with its listing date on September 15, 2010 [1] - The company focuses on the research, production, and sales of connectors, primarily serving the 3C (computer, communication, consumer electronics), automotive, and communication equipment sectors [1] - The revenue composition of Luxshare Precision is as follows: Consumer electronics 78.55%, communication interconnect products and precision components 8.91%, automotive interconnect products and precision components 6.95%, computer interconnect products and precision components 3.93%, and other connectors and businesses 1.65% [1] Group 2: Fund Holdings - According to data from the top ten holdings of funds, one fund under Baoying has a significant position in Luxshare Precision [2] - Baoying CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Technology Leaders Index Fund A (015820) reduced its holdings by 15,600 shares in the second quarter, now holding 28,300 shares, which accounts for 2.53% of the fund's net value, ranking as the sixth-largest holding [2] - The estimated floating loss for the fund today is approximately 84,100 CNY [2] Group 3: Fund Manager Performance - The fund manager of Baoying CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Technology Leaders Index Fund A is Cai Dan, who has been in the position for 8 years and 76 days, with a total fund asset size of 1.802 billion CNY and a best return of 97.99% during the tenure [3] - The co-manager, Yang Zhixuan, has been in the role for 266 days, managing assets of 43.49 million CNY, with a best return of 36.57% during the tenure [3]
消费电子概念股走低,相关ETF跌超3%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 05:52
Group 1 - The consumer electronics sector has seen a decline, with stocks such as EVE Energy falling over 7%, Luxshare Precision down over 4%, and others like SMIC, Lattice Semiconductor, and GoerTek dropping more than 3% [1] - The ETFs tracking the CSI Consumer Electronics Theme Index have also experienced a drop of over 3% due to adjustments in heavyweight stocks [1] - The CSI Consumer Electronics Theme Index includes 50 listed companies involved in component production and brand design in the consumer electronics sector, reflecting the overall performance of these securities [2] Group 2 - Despite the recent downturn, institutional analysis suggests that the long-term growth logic of the consumer electronics sector remains solid, with clear trends in AI innovation [2] - Leading companies in the domestic supply chain, characterized by strong R&D capabilities and a robust engineering talent pool, are expected to benefit significantly from the wave of AI terminal innovations [2]
A股午评:创业板指跌2.37%,农业银行创历史新高
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-17 04:17
Market Overview - The market experienced a downward trend in early trading, with the Shenzhen Composite Index and ChiNext Index dropping over 2% at one point. By the end of the morning session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1%, the Shenzhen Composite Index by 1.99%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.37% [1] Sector Performance - The port and shipping sector continued to show strength, with Haitong Development achieving a second consecutive trading limit increase. Defensive sectors, including coal and gas stocks, performed well, with Dayou Energy hitting five trading limits in six days and Guo New Energy achieving three trading limits in four days [1] - The banking sector saw fluctuations, with Agricultural Bank of China rising over 2% to reach a historical high [1] Declining Stocks - The data center power supply concept faced significant declines, with stocks like Igor and Zhongheng Electric hitting the trading limit down. Additionally, several heavyweight stocks, including Sungrow Power and ZTE, experienced substantial drops [2] Trading Volume - The total trading volume for the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.18 trillion yuan, a decrease of 32.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [3] Individual Stock Highlights - Sungrow Power led in trading volume with over 11.6 billion yuan, followed by ZTE, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Sanhua Intelligent Control, which also had high trading volumes [4]
融资资金再加仓阳光电源超33亿元丨资金流向日报
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-17 03:16
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.1% to close at 3916.23 points, with a daily high of 3931.05 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.25% to close at 13086.41 points, with a daily high of 13218.17 points [1] - The ChiNext Index increased by 0.38% to close at 3037.44 points, with a daily high of 3068.84 points [1] Margin Trading and Securities Lending - The total margin trading and securities lending balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 24496.33 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 24325.75 billion yuan and a securities lending balance of 170.58 billion yuan, an increase of 77.85 billion yuan from the previous trading day [2] - The Shanghai market's margin trading balance was 12496.03 billion yuan, up by 15.62 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen market's balance was 12000.31 billion yuan, up by 62.24 billion yuan [2] - A total of 3447 stocks had financing funds buying in, with the top three being Sungrow Power Supply (33.44 billion yuan), ZTE Corporation (32.15 billion yuan), and Zhongji Xuchuang (22.59 billion yuan) [2][3] Fund Issuance - Twelve new funds were issued yesterday, including: - Caitong Quality Selection Mixed C - China Europe Value Navigation Mixed - Huaan Advantage Navigation Mixed C - Huaan Advantage Navigation Mixed A - CICC CSI All-Share Index Enhanced A - Ping An Ansheng Yingfeng Multi-Asset 3-Month Holding Mixed (FOF) C - Ping An Ansheng Yingfeng Multi-Asset 3-Month Holding Mixed (FOF) A - Invesco Great Wall Hengyi Mixed - Caitong Quality Selection Mixed A - CICC CSI All-Share Index Enhanced C - Dongfang Alpha Rui Enjoy Mixed Initiation A - Dongfang Alpha Rui Enjoy Mixed Initiation C [4][5] Top Net Purchases on the Dragon and Tiger List - The top ten net purchases on the Dragon and Tiger list included: - Changshan Beiming (520.87 million yuan) - Shannon Chip (482.99 million yuan) - Haixia Shares (122.06 million yuan) - Yunhan Chip City (115.66 million yuan) - Shen Zhenye A (52.88 million yuan) - Ningbo Ocean (42.71 million yuan) - Chuangjiang New Material (38.19 million yuan) - Guoguang Chain (31.56 million yuan) - Xiling Information (28.19 million yuan) - Haitong Development (27.21 million yuan) [6][7]