First(SH:603806) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-10 11:23Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, primarily due to intense competition in the photovoltaic supply chain and falling prices of encapsulant materials, but anticipates a recovery in 2025 as excess capacity is cleared and prices stabilize [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 19.147 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.308 billion yuan, down 29.3% year-on-year [1]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 3.973 billion yuan, with a significant decline of 33.1% quarter-on-quarter and 9.9% year-on-year [1]. - The company's 2024 encapsulant revenue decreased by 15% to 17.5 billion yuan, despite a 24.98% increase in sales volume to 2.81 billion square meters [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The global photovoltaic industry faced an imbalance in supply and demand in 2024, leading to a continuous decline in prices across the entire supply chain [2]. - The average price of encapsulant materials fell from 7.3 yuan per square meter in Q1 2024 to 6.2 yuan per square meter in Q4 2024 [2]. - The company’s market share in the encapsulant segment increased to over 50% despite the price decline [2]. Group 3: Product Segments - The company reported a revenue of 593 million yuan from photosensitive dry film in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30.72%, driven by demand from sectors like electric vehicles and AI servers [3]. - Revenue from aluminum-plastic film reached 133 million yuan, up 16.17% year-on-year, benefiting from the expansion of demand in electric vehicles and consumer electronics [3]. - The company is expanding its customer base in the digital, energy storage, and power battery sectors, which is expected to drive further growth in the future [3]. Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 2.46 billion yuan and 3.31 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting an increase of 11.6% and 9.6% from previous estimates [4]. - The target price for the company has been adjusted to 23.5 yuan, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 25x for 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating [4].