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中航证券:下调航材股份目标价至64.0元,给予买入评级

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that the company achieved stable performance in 2024, with a significant profit growth of 98% in Q4, leading to a target price adjustment to 64.0 yuan and a "buy" rating [1][10]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 2.932 billion yuan, an increase of 4.62%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 581 million yuan, up by 0.84%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 514 million yuan, down by 9.26% [2][3]. - The gross margin was 29.64%, a decrease of 1.91 percentage points, while the net margin was 19.82%, down by 0.74 percentage points. The decline in margins was attributed to changes in product structure and increased R&D expenses, which rose by 18.78% [3][4]. Quarterly Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a quarterly operating revenue of 736 million yuan, an increase of 21.08% quarter-on-quarter, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 145 million yuan, reflecting a 97.91% increase [5][10]. Product and Market Dynamics - The company operates as a leading player in the aviation materials sector under the China Aviation Engine Group, focusing on the R&D, production, and sales of aerospace components and materials. It has diversified its product offerings across various sectors, including aerospace, shipbuilding, and automotive [6][9]. - In 2024, revenue from basic materials decreased by 7.83% to 1.219 billion yuan, while revenue from aviation finished products increased by 9.09% to 1.351 billion yuan. Non-aviation finished products and processing services saw significant growth, with revenues of 180 million yuan and 159 million yuan, respectively, marking increases of 44.63% and 97.25% [6][8]. Future Outlook - The company is actively expanding its product and market diversification, with a focus on advanced aluminum alloy products and international market development. A long-term framework contract worth approximately 2.1 billion yuan has been signed for titanium alloy components, expected to enhance the company's global market competitiveness [9][10]. - Projections for 2025-2027 indicate expected revenues of 3.3 billion yuan, 3.759 billion yuan, and 4.284 billion yuan, with net profits of 653 million yuan, 773 million yuan, and 916 million yuan, respectively [10].