SBGCL(SH:600827) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-17 02:25Core Viewpoint - The company's 2024 performance aligns with expectations, showing a decline in revenue but a significant increase in net profit due to investment gains from the REITs [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 was 27.67 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.3% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.57 billion, a year-on-year increase of 292.7%, primarily due to investment income from the Huashan Bailian Consumption REIT - Non-recurring net profit was 110 million, a year-on-year decrease of 42.9% - Quarterly revenue declines were recorded as follows: Q1 -6.9%, Q2 -7.3%, Q3 -10.8%, Q4 -13.0% - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.65 per 10 shares, totaling approximately 470 million, with a payout ratio of 30% [1] Business Trends - Business performance is differentiated, with the outlet segment showing stable results. In 2024, revenue by segment was as follows: department stores -31.9%, shopping centers +17.6%, outlets +0.03% - Traditional department stores are underperforming as consumer preferences shift towards more cost-effective and experiential formats - The company closed 2 shopping centers in 2024, ending the year with 12 department stores, 20 shopping centers, and 9 outlets - Hypermarkets and large stores saw revenue declines of -4.7% and -15.0%, respectively, with a net reduction of 65 and 11 stores - Convenience store revenue decreased by 10.3%, with a net reduction of 128 stores as the company optimizes its store structure [2] REITs and Profitability - The company achieved a gross margin of 25.9% in 2024, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points - The gross margins for department stores and shopping centers fell by 3.0 and 8.6 percentage points to 31.4% and 45.2%, respectively - Selling and administrative expense ratios increased by 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points to 16.7% and 7.8%, respectively, mainly due to operational leverage - Investment income from REITs increased by 2.2 billion, significantly boosting net profit margin by 4.4 percentage points to 5.7% - Non-recurring net margin decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 0.4%, indicating ongoing pressure on core business profitability [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is deepening unique projects to create a differentiated competitive advantage, including the "Play Together" concept for the ZX brand, which has led to the establishment of two new consumer experience projects - The outlet business operates nine stores across eight cities, with a total area exceeding 900,000 square meters, generating over 16 billion in annual sales and attracting over 30 million visitors - The company successfully acquired land for the Chengdu Panda International Resort for 823 million, planning to develop the first "Panda-themed park-style" outlet with a total investment exceeding 3 billion, expected to open in 2027 [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 520 million and 570 million, respectively - The current price corresponds to 34 and 32 times P/E for 2025 and 2026 - The company maintains an outperform rating and a target price of 13.0, implying a 29% upside potential based on 44 and 41 times P/E for 2025 and 2026 [5]