Philip Morris Gears Up for Q1 Earnings: Key Factors to Consider

Core Viewpoint - Philip Morris International Inc. is expected to show growth in both revenue and earnings for the first quarter of 2025, with revenue estimates around $9 billion, reflecting a 1.8% increase year-over-year [1]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly earnings is $1.61 per share, indicating a 7.3% increase from the previous year [2]. - The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise average of 4% [2]. Smoke-Free Product Performance - Smoke-free products contributed 40% to the company's net revenues in Q4 2024, showcasing the success of its IQOS device and other innovations like IQOS ILUMA, ZYN nicotine pouches, and VEEV ONE e-vapor [3]. - The estimated revenue from smoke-free products for Q1 2025 is $3,576.89 million, up from $3,296 million in the same quarter last year [4]. Cost Management and Strategic Initiatives - Philip Morris has implemented cost-saving measures and strategic initiatives that have positively impacted its margins [4]. Currency Impact and Regulatory Challenges - The company anticipates a 4-cent unfavorable impact on adjusted EPS due to volatile currency movements [5]. - Strict government regulations, including mandatory precautionary labels and self-critical advertisements, are challenges that may affect cigarette consumption [5]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for Philip Morris, with a Zacks Rank of 3 and an Earnings ESP of -1.83% [6].