Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-04-18 06:08Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosen Securities expresses optimism about domestic panel leaders like BOE Technology Group (000725.SZ) capitalizing on the era of consumption upgrade and localization in China, leveraging scale effects, cost advantages, and market share to steadily improve profitability [1] Industry Overview - The LCD industry is experiencing a non-seasonal demand, with global large-size LCD panel revenue in February showing a month-on-month increase of 3.15% and a year-on-year increase of 18.88%, reaching $5.54 billion [2] - The average gross margin of major Chinese LCD manufacturers decreased by 0.77 percentage points year-on-year and 0.56 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 14.91% in Q3 2024, while net profit margin increased by 0.15 percentage points year-on-year but decreased by 0.69 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 1.75% [3] Price Trends - In March 2025, prices for various sizes of LCD TV panels increased month-on-month, with a forecast for April indicating stable prices across all sizes [4] - The prices for 10.1-inch, 14-inch, and 23.8-inch LCD IT panels remained stable in March 2025, with a slight increase in the 23.8-inch display panel price [4] Supply and Demand Dynamics - In February, the global large-size LCD panel shipment area grew by 28.27% year-on-year, with significant increases in shipments for TVs (31.54%), monitors (11.70%), notebooks (30.23%), and tablets (21.89%) [5] - The global large-size LCD production capacity is expected to grow by 2.31% in 2024 compared to 2023, with a slight increase in capacity expected in the first three quarters of 2024 [5] Market Outlook - The LCD industry is anticipated to stabilize in terms of capacity, with the potential for further concentration of market share due to the shutdown and sale of production lines by overseas manufacturers, which may help regulate LCD TV panel prices and enhance the profitability stability of LCD panel companies [6]