Insights Into Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) Q1: Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics

Core Viewpoint - Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) is expected to report a decline in quarterly earnings and revenues, with analysts predicting earnings of $0.24 per share, a 25% decrease year-over-year, and revenues of $5.31 billion, reflecting a 16% decline compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised upward by 9.8% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- Indonesia' at $1.31 billion, a decrease of 53.6% from the prior-year quarter [5]. - 'Revenues- Molybdenum' are expected to reach $261.94 million, showing an increase of 80.7% year-over-year [5]. - 'Revenues- South America copper mines' are projected at $1.29 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 13.9% [5]. - 'Revenues- North America copper mines' are forecasted to be $1.56 billion, reflecting a 3.9% increase year-over-year [6]. Production and Sales Estimates - 'Production in millions of pounds - Molybdenum - South America (Cerro Verde)' is expected to be 5.82 Mlbs, up from 3 Mlbs in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Production in millions of pounds - Molybdenum - By-product - North America' is estimated at 7.73 Mlbs, compared to 7 Mlbs reported in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Sales in thousands of Ounces - Gold - North America' are projected at 3.87 Koz, down from 4 Koz in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Sales in thousands of ounces - Gold - Consolidated basis' are expected to reach 126.13 Koz, significantly lower than 568 Koz reported in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Sales in thousands of Ounces - Gold - Indonesia' are estimated at 122.25 Koz, down from 564 Koz year-over-year [9]. - 'Sales in millions of pounds - Copper - Total South America' are projected at 281.86 Mlbs, slightly lower than 284 Mlbs reported in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Sales in millions of pounds - Copper - Indonesia - Grasberg' are expected to be 242.98 Mlbs, down from 493 Mlbs year-over-year [10]. Stock Performance - Freeport-McMoRan shares have decreased by 19.2% over the past month, contrasting with a 6.9% decline in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [11].