鲍威尔，可能真的被“炒掉”！

Core Viewpoint - The conflict between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is evolving from a verbal dispute into a systemic crisis, challenging the independence of the Federal Reserve and the credibility of U.S. monetary policy [1][5]. Group 1: Political Dynamics - Trump has publicly criticized Powell, calling him "slow and incompetent," and has suggested that he could easily replace him if desired [1][3]. - The White House is reportedly exploring the possibility of replacing Powell, with former Fed governor Kevin Walsh as a potential successor [1][5]. - This power struggle is not merely about policy differences but poses a broader challenge to the independence of the Federal Reserve and the stability of the global financial system [1][8]. Group 2: Powell's Position - Powell, appointed by Trump, has maintained the Fed's traditional independence and has resisted political pressure to implement monetary easing [3][6]. - His commitment to data-driven policy adjustments, especially in the context of ongoing inflation and high interest rates, has frustrated Trump, who seeks a more compliant monetary policy to support his re-election efforts [3][6]. - The potential removal of Powell could set a dangerous precedent, undermining the Fed's operational independence and transforming it into a political tool [5][8]. Group 3: Economic Implications - Trump's economic policies, including tax cuts and trade wars, have contributed to inflation and economic instability, which he now attributes to Powell's actions [6]. - Economists and market participants largely support Powell, warning that political pressure on the Fed could lead to higher inflation and unemployment [6][8]. - The credibility of the Fed, built on its commitment to non-political decision-making, is at risk if the independence of the institution is compromised [6][8].