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东兴证券:供需或进入持续性紧平衡状态 多领域共振推动镁需求增长
Dongxing Securities Co.,Ltd.Dongxing Securities Co.,Ltd.(SH:601198) 智通财经网·2025-04-21 08:42

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the development of automotive lightweighting will significantly increase global magnesium demand, with additional contributions from the robotics industry, magnesium alloy construction templates, magnesium-based hydrogen storage, and low-altitude economy sectors [1] - Global magnesium demand is projected to grow from 1.12 million tons in 2024 to 2.001 million tons in 2027, with a CAGR of 21% during this period [1] - The automotive industry is identified as the main driver of magnesium demand growth, with magnesium alloy production demand reaching 550,000 tons in 2024, accounting for nearly half (49%) of global magnesium demand [1] Group 2 - By 2024, the magnesium consumption in the automotive sector is expected to reach 385,000 tons, representing 70% of magnesium alloy consumption, and the total magnesium usage in the automotive industry could reach 560,000 tons, accounting for 50% of global magnesium demand [1] - The penetration rate of automotive lightweighting is expected to drive magnesium alloy demand from 570,000 tons in 2024 to 1.35 million tons in 2027, with a CAGR of 34% [2] Group 3 - The robotics industry is emerging as a new variable for magnesium alloy demand growth, with industrial robot magnesium alloy demand projected to increase from 3,100 tons in 2024 to 6,700 tons in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 28% [3] - The demand for magnesium alloys in humanoid robots is expected to grow from 200 tons in 2024 to 8,500 tons by 2030, with a remarkable CAGR of 93% [3] - Overall, the robotics sector's magnesium demand is anticipated to rise from 3,300 tons in 2024 to 8,100 tons in 2027, with a CAGR of 34% [3]