Sinnet(SZ:300383) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-21 08:47Core Viewpoint - The company is facing short-term performance impacts due to intensified industry competition and the disposal of operational assets, but it is actively increasing its operational cabinet scale and entering the computing power business, which is expected to gradually improve profitability [1]. Investment Highlights - The rating is maintained at "Buy," with a target price adjusted to 18.05 yuan. The company is projected to achieve revenue of 7.28 billion yuan in 2024 (YoY -7.3%) and a net profit of 346 million yuan (YoY -7.4%). The ongoing price competition in the IDC industry and potential negative impacts from US-China trade tensions are considered, leading to a downward revision of EPS for 2025-2026 to 0.22 (-0.02) and 0.23 (-0.04) yuan, with a new EPS of 0.24 yuan for 2027. The IDC industry's fierce competition, along with the computing power and AI-optimized SaaS business, is expected to provide new growth points, justifying the target price adjustment to 18.05 yuan while maintaining the "Buy" rating [2]. Industry Competition and Performance Impact - The intense competition in the IDC industry continues to affect Q1 2025 performance, with IDC rental prices declining and some clients terminating leases, resulting in a 4% YoY revenue decline in the IDC business. The major client, Amazon, reclaimed 1.22 billion yuan of operational assets at the end of 2024, leading to an 11.4% YoY revenue decline in the cloud computing business and a 5% drop in gross margin. The overall revenue reduction for the year is estimated to be around 100 million yuan, which is considered limited in impact [3][4]. Growth Initiatives - The company is increasing its cabinet deployment and expanding into the computing power business, laying the foundation for future growth. As of Q1 2025, the operational cabinet scale reached 59,000 standard cabinets, an increase of 7,000 from the end of 2023. Projects in Changsha (16,000 cabinets), Shanghai Jiading Phase II (5,000 cabinets), and Tianjin Baodi Phases 1 & 2 (15,000 cabinets) are expected to be operational within the year. The expansion of cabinet scale is beneficial for achieving economies of scale and enhancing bargaining power, thereby improving gross margin performance. Additionally, the company is leveraging its IDC facilities to develop the computing power business, with an existing scale exceeding 4,000 P, which is expected to drive new business growth in the current high-demand market for high-performance computing [4]. Shareholder Returns - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, having approved a profit distribution plan for 2024, proposing a cash dividend of 0.60 yuan (before tax) for every 10 shares. Furthermore, the company has established a "Market Value Management System" and a "Quality Return Dual Improvement" plan to enhance its long-term investment value [4].