特朗普上任后连续“退群”，下一个会是IMF吗？

Core Viewpoint - The potential withdrawal of the United States from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is seen as a significant self-harm action that would diminish U.S. influence in global financial governance and weaken the dollar's status as the world's primary currency [1][4]. Group 1: Economic and Financial Implications - If the U.S. exits the IMF, it would lose all influence over the organization's policies and operations, leading to a significant reduction in the dollar's international standing [4]. - The IMF's operations are predominantly dollar-based, with most borrowing countries requesting and repaying loans in dollars. A U.S. exit would mean that other member countries would have to provide dollars from their reserves, potentially accelerating a decline in demand for IMF resources, which has already decreased by 5.6% over the past four years [4]. - The dollar currently accounts for 43% of the IMF's Special Drawing Rights (SDR), and its removal from the SDR basket could allow other currencies, particularly the euro, to challenge the dollar's dominance [5]. Group 2: Political and Strategic Considerations - The Heritage Foundation's "2025 Plan" suggests that the U.S. withdrawal from the IMF aligns with a radical policy agenda that opposes the IMF's economic theories and policies, which are viewed as contrary to free market principles and limited government [3]. - Edwin Truman emphasizes that exiting the IMF would be a monumental strategic blunder, equating it to cutting off the U.S.'s "soft power" in international monetary policy [4].