Ge Long Hui·2025-04-22 06:38Core Viewpoint - The global trade and payment landscape is undergoing significant changes due to the tariff policies initiated by Trump, leading to a surge in cross-border payment activities and a notable rise in capital markets [1][5][13]. Group 1: Market Performance - The cross-border payment sector has seen explosive growth, with several stocks experiencing significant gains, including New Morning Technology and Youbo Xun, which both hit the 20% limit up [1][2]. - As of the latest trading day, the cross-border payment concept has accumulated a rise of over 17% in the past 11 trading days since April 8 [3]. Group 2: Currency Dynamics - The US dollar index has recently fallen below the 99 and 98 thresholds, marking its lowest point since March 2022, with a year-to-date decline of nearly 10% [5][7]. - This decline in the dollar is seen as a historic collapse, with the index failing to maintain the 100 mark for the sixth time since the Bretton Woods system ended in 1973 [6][7]. Group 3: Policy Developments - A joint action plan was released by the People's Bank of China and other regulatory bodies to enhance cross-border financial services in Shanghai, which includes improving the functionality and global coverage of the Renminbi Cross-Border Payment System (CIPS) [9][10]. - The Renminbi has become the third-largest trade financing currency globally, with over 40 countries signing bilateral currency swap agreements with China [11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the ongoing US-China tariff disputes may accelerate the internationalization of the Renminbi and reshape the global trade and payment landscape [13][14]. - The establishment of new cross-border payment systems centered around the Renminbi, such as CIPS, mBridge, and BRICS Pay, is expected to drive growth in the cross-border payment industry [13][14].