短期业绩不掩长期价值：智飞生物研发管线“多点开花”，国际化与创新药成估值重塑关键

Core Insights - In 2024, Zhifei Biological achieved a revenue of 26.07 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.018 billion yuan despite industry challenges, showcasing its resilience and long-term development potential [1][2][3] Financial Performance - The company reported a 14.98% year-on-year increase in revenue from self-developed products, totaling 1.182 billion yuan, while agency products faced significant demand fluctuations, with a 95.49% drop in the issuance of Merck's quadrivalent HPV vaccine [2][3] - Accounts receivable decreased from 27.059 billion yuan at the beginning of 2024 to 14.645 billion yuan in Q1 2025, indicating effective financial risk management [3] - The net cash flow from operating activities in Q1 2025 was 304 million yuan, a 107.12% increase year-on-year, reflecting a shift from expansion to refined operations [3] Strategic Initiatives - Zhifei Biological restructured core partnerships to enhance market resilience, extending the exclusive distribution rights for the shingles vaccine with GSK until 2035 and exploring a 10-year collaboration for RSV vaccines [2][3] - The company is adjusting the delivery schedule for Merck's products to optimize inventory management while meeting consumer demand [2][3] Research and Development - In 2024, R&D investment reached 1.391 billion yuan, with cumulative investment exceeding 5.1 billion yuan over five years, leading to significant advancements in its innovation pipeline [4][5] - The company has 34 self-developed projects, with 19 in clinical and registration stages, indicating a potential peak in product launches in the next 3-5 years [7] International Expansion - Zhifei Biological's overseas operations are gaining traction, with its tuberculosis diagnostic reagent "Yika" approved for use in Indonesia and other markets, and the 23-valent pneumonia vaccine receiving GMP certification in the Philippines [6][7] - The company is positioned to benefit from the approval of male indications for Merck's quadrivalent and nine-valent HPV vaccines, expanding its market reach [6][7] Future Outlook - The company aims to continue its commitment to social benefits while pursuing technological innovation and market promotion, positioning itself to play a significant role in public health and the vaccine industry [7][8]