Earnings Preview: Northern Oil and Gas (NOG) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Northern Oil and Gas (NOG) despite an increase in revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Northern Oil and Gas is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.12 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 12.5% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $557.77 million, indicating a 4.8% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 10.72% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Northern Oil and Gas is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +1.96% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank [8]. - Northern Oil and Gas currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Northern Oil and Gas was expected to earn $1.13 per share but reported $1.11, resulting in a surprise of -1.77% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times [13]. Conclusion - While Northern Oil and Gas does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [16].