山海：黄金出现大扫盘，但趋势不变还是多！

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market experienced significant volatility, with prices rising to a high of 3500 before dropping to a low of 3315, resulting in a total decline of 185 USD [2] - Market instability and policy uncertainty are contributing factors to the unpredictable movements in gold prices, leading to a cautious outlook on further bullish trends [2] - The upcoming market events, including the release of manufacturing PMI data and geopolitical developments, are expected to influence gold's direction [2] Group 2: Dollar Index and Market Sentiment - The dollar index rebounded from around 97.5 to approximately 99.3, aligning with previous expectations, and is now being monitored for potential movement above 100 [4] - Despite the recent rebound, the dollar remains in a weak position, indicating possible further declines in the near term [4] - The market's logic dictates that trading strategies should respect current trends, with a focus on finding optimal entry points for gold trades [4] Group 3: Silver Market Dynamics - The international silver market did not follow gold's volatility, as silver's movements are primarily influenced by gold's performance [5] - Silver is currently in a consolidation phase, with key resistance at 33-34 and support around 31.5-30, suggesting a cautious approach to trading [5] - Traders are advised to remain on the sidelines until a clearer direction emerges in the silver market [5] Group 4: Oil Market Outlook - The international crude oil market is expected to continue its bearish trend, with current prices around 64 and potential support levels at 60.5 and 56.5 [5] - Traders are encouraged to wait for a rebound to enter short positions, as the overall sentiment remains negative [5] Group 5: Futures Market Insights - The domestic gold futures market saw a sharp decline from 836 to 803, indicating a volatile trading environment [6] - Despite the recent downturn, the outlook remains bullish for gold, with a support level at 800 and a target of 835 for potential upward movement [6] - The futures for silver and other commodities are also experiencing fluctuations, with specific trading ranges identified for optimal entry points [8][9][10]