Guangzhou Restaurant(SH:603043) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-23 08:38Core Viewpoint - The company reported stable overall performance in 2024, with short-term profit pressure due to various factors affecting revenue and net profit [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's operating revenue reached 5.124 billion yuan, an increase of 4.6%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 494 million yuan, a decrease of 10.3% [1]. - The fourth quarter saw a slight decline in revenue to 1.021 billion yuan, down 0.4%, and a significant drop in net profit to 46 million yuan, down 22.1% [1]. - The overall gross margin was 31.7%, down 3.9 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased promotional efforts in the food manufacturing segment [2]. Group 2: Business Segments - The restaurant business showed strong performance with service revenue of 1.46 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.2%, contributing to 28.4% of total revenue [1]. - The food manufacturing segment faced challenges, with revenue of 3.57 billion yuan, a modest increase of 1.0%. Specific product lines like mooncakes and frozen foods saw declines of 2.0% and 3.0%, respectively, due to intensified industry competition [1]. - The company's overseas revenue grew significantly by 41.6%, with products entering markets such as the United States and Canada [1]. Group 3: Cost Management and Shareholder Returns - The company effectively controlled expenses, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios decreasing by 0.51 percentage points, 0.41 percentage points, and 0.18 percentage points, respectively [2]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.80 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, reflecting a dividend payout ratio of approximately 55.3%, up from 49.6% in 2023 [2]. - A stock option and restricted stock incentive plan is set to be implemented, with revenue growth targets for 2025-2027 set at no less than 16%, 10%, and 10% year-on-year, respectively [2]. Group 4: Future Projections - The company forecasts EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.02 yuan, 1.16 yuan, and 1.30 yuan, respectively, with adjustments made due to weak downstream demand and rising raw material costs [3]. - A target price of 18.36 yuan is set based on an 18 times PE ratio, maintaining a buy rating [3].