The Hartford to Release Q1 Earnings: Key Estimates to Watch

Core Viewpoint - The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG) is expected to report a decline in earnings for Q1 2025, with a consensus estimate of $2.13 per share, reflecting a 9% decrease from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The earnings estimate for Q1 has seen six downward revisions with no upward adjustments in the last 30 days [1]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is projected at $4.8 billion, indicating an 11.5% growth compared to the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Surprise History - HIG has beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 4.66% [2]. Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank - The Hartford has an Earnings ESP of -4.40%, with the Most Accurate Estimate at $2.04 per share, lower than the consensus estimate [4]. - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [4]. Revenue Drivers - Revenue growth is anticipated from Business Insurance, Personal Insurance, and Employee Benefits segments, with overall net premiums expected to reach $5.9 billion, reflecting an 8.3% increase from the prior year [5]. Business Insurance Segment - The Business Insurance segment is projected to benefit from rate increases and new business growth, with earned premiums estimated at $3.4 billion, a 10.2% increase year-over-year [6][7]. Personal Insurance Segment - The Personal Insurance unit is expected to see earned premiums of $910 million, an 11.9% increase from the previous year, driven by rate hikes and new business growth [8][9]. Employee Benefits Segment - The Employee Benefits business is likely to generate revenues of $1.6 billion, a 2.6% rise from the prior year, supported by improved premiums and favorable mortality trends [10]. Investment Income - The Hartford's net investment income is expected to reach $709 million, indicating a 19.6% growth from the year-ago quarter, aided by higher invested assets and improved reinvestment rates [11]. Cost Pressures - The bottom line is anticipated to be pressured by rising benefits, losses, and higher operating costs, alongside ongoing investments in digital capabilities [12].