ZMC(SH:600216) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-24 00:26Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Medicine's 2024 performance met market expectations, with significant revenue and profit growth driven by rising prices of vitamins A and E [1][2] Financial Performance - In 2024, Zhejiang Medicine reported revenue of 9.375 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.3%, and a net profit of 1.161 billion yuan, corresponding to earnings per share of 1.21 yuan, up 170% year-on-year, aligning with market expectations [1] - The company's Q4 2024 revenue was 2.262 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 18% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 16.4%. Net profit for Q4 was 311 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 142% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 41.8% due to a 1.62 billion yuan asset impairment loss [1] - The nutrition segment generated revenue of 4.697 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 43.51%, with vitamin product sales reaching 52,688 tons, up 32.87% year-on-year [1] Market Trends - Vitamin E and A prices are experiencing a slight decline from their high levels, with current domestic vitamin E prices at 119 yuan/kg, down 23.5 yuan/kg from the beginning of the year, and vitamin A prices at 78 yuan/kg, reflecting a significant drop from the Q3 2024 peak [4] - Despite the price drop, strong production capabilities and a willingness to maintain prices among producers are expected to keep the market relatively stable [4] Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on product line upgrades and optimizing capacity layout, with successful trials of new processes in the nutrition segment and ongoing construction of new facilities for pharmaceutical products [4] - The company is optimistic about strengthening its long-term competitiveness and the gradual realization of growth in its pharmaceutical business [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to the decline in vitamin prices, the profit forecast for 2025 has been reduced by 28% to 1.09 billion yuan, with a new forecast for 2026 set at 1.1 billion yuan [5] - The target price has been adjusted down by 13% to 16.5 yuan, reflecting a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.5 for 2025 and 2026, with a potential upside of 21% [5]