Core Viewpoint - Zhengdan Co., Ltd. continues to experience significant profit growth in Q1 2025, driven by rising TMA prices, but future revenue and profit growth may be challenged by new production capacity coming online [2][5]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Zhengdan Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 853 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64.67%, and a net profit of 389 million yuan, up 558.60% [2]. - For the full year 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.48 billion yuan, a 126.31% increase, and a net profit of 1.19 billion yuan, representing a 119-fold increase compared to the previous year [3]. TMA Market Dynamics - TMA prices surged from approximately 12,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of 2024 to around 60,000 yuan/ton by June 2024, primarily due to supply disruptions from U.S. producers [3][4]. - The average TMA price increased from 16,600 yuan/ton in Q1 2024 to 49,400 yuan/ton in Q1 2025 [4]. Production Capacity and Expansion - Zhengdan Co., Ltd. has the largest TMA production capacity in China at 85,000 tons/year, followed by U.S. producer INEOS at 70,000 tons/year [5]. - The company plans to expand its production capacity by 65,000 tons/year, while other domestic competitors are also increasing their capacities [5]. Future Outlook and Strategy - Analysts predict that TMA prices may decline in the next 1-2 years as new production capacities come online, potentially returning prices to pre-increase levels [5][6]. - The company is diversifying its product offerings and pursuing international expansion, including plans to establish a production base in Malaysia [7].
正丹股份一季度净利润增长558.60%,最大“功臣”TMA或难维持高价