Core Viewpoint - The imposition of tariffs by the U.S. government has severely disrupted the global economy and significantly impacted the U.S. tourism market, leading to a sharp decline in stock prices of various travel-related companies [1][2][3]. Group 1: Impact on Travel Companies - Major U.S. travel companies, including Carnival Cruise and Norwegian Cruise, have seen substantial stock price declines, with Carnival down 7.94% in April and 29.77% over the past three months, while Norwegian Cruise fell 12.39% in April and 38.57% over the same period [1][2]. - The hotel industry is also heavily affected, with Marriott's stock down 7.3% in April and 20.57% over three months, and Hyatt down 12.52% in April and 31.38% over three months [1][2][3]. - U.S. airlines experienced significant stock drops, with United Airlines plummeting 15.61% and American Airlines and Delta Airlines both dropping over 10% on April 3 [2]. Group 2: Economic Pressures on the Industry - The tourism sector is facing dual pressures from rising costs and declining demand, with airlines contending with increased component and fuel costs, as well as shrinking international route demand [3]. - The tariffs have led to soaring prices for aircraft components from Boeing, increasing maintenance and upgrade costs for airlines, potentially pushing them to consider purchasing from Airbus instead [3]. - The hotel industry is also struggling with rising international procurement costs and renovation expenses due to tariffs, which compress profit margins [3]. Group 3: Changes in the Inbound Tourism Market - The tariffs have caused a significant downturn in the inbound tourism market, which has traditionally generated a substantial trade surplus for the U.S. tourism industry [4]. - The U.S. tourism industry is projected to generate approximately $1.3 trillion in revenue in 2024, supporting around 15 million jobs, but the tariffs are expected to negatively impact this revenue [4][5]. - A decline in Canadian visitors, who accounted for 20.2 million trips to the U.S. last year, could result in a loss of $2.1 billion in consumer spending and potentially lead to 14,000 job losses [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Market Shifts - The U.S. tourism industry is forecasted to lose $72 billion in revenue by 2025 due to a significant drop in inbound visitors, affecting hotels, airlines, and dining sectors [5]. - In light of the downturn in traditional tourist destinations, there is a shift towards more resilient regional markets, with increased travel expected in areas like Japan, South Korea, and Southeast Asia [5].
美国滥施关税,灼伤美国旅游市场