Dana Gears Up to Report Q1 Earnings: Here's What to Expect

Core Viewpoint - Dana Incorporated (DAN) is expected to report first-quarter 2025 results on April 30, with earnings per share (EPS) estimated at 16 cents and revenues at $2.27 billion, reflecting a significant growth of 700% year-over-year despite a recent downward revision of 7 cents in earnings estimates over the past 60 days [1][2]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DAN's quarterly revenues indicates a year-over-year decline of 16.88%, with the company having beaten earnings estimates in two of the last four quarters and missed twice, resulting in an average surprise of 11.79% [2]. - In Q4 2024, DAN reported an adjusted EPS of 25 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 10 cents, and improved from a loss of 8 cents in the previous year, although net sales of $2.33 billion fell short of the $2.35 billion estimate, marking a 5.6% decline year-over-year [2]. Margin and Cost Management - Dana reported an adjusted EBITDA margin of 8.6% in 2024, an improvement of 60 basis points from 2023, attributed to cost-saving measures and enhanced efficiencies, with expectations for the margin to reach 10% in 2025 [3]. Sales Outlook - For 2025, Dana anticipates a foreign currency headwind impacting sales by approximately $195 million and a commodity headwind of around $30 million due to declining steel and other commodity prices, projecting sales between $9.525 billion and $10.025 billion, down from $10.28 billion in 2024 due to lower end-market demand and delays in electric vehicle (EV) programs [4]. Earnings Prediction - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Dana for the upcoming quarter, as it lacks the necessary combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a favorable Zacks Rank [5][6].