Will Green Plains Renewable Energy (GPRE) Report Negative Q1 Earnings? What You Should Know

Company Overview - Green Plains Renewable Energy (GPRE) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite lower revenues for the quarter ended March 2025, with a consensus estimate of a quarterly loss of $0.51 per share, reflecting a 37% improvement from the previous year [1][3] - Revenues are projected to be $588.33 million, which is a decrease of 1.5% compared to the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 12.33% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][10] - The Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -39.22%, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [10][11] Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Green Plains was expected to post a loss of $0.28 per share but instead reported a loss of $0.86, resulting in a surprise of -207.14% [12] - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [13] Market Sentiment and Predictions - The stock may experience upward movement if the actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2] - Despite the negative Earnings ESP, the stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [11][16] Industry Context - In the Zacks Chemical - Specialty industry, Quaker Chemical (KWR) is also expected to report earnings, with a projected EPS of $1.52, indicating a year-over-year decline of 27.3% [17] - Quaker Chemical's consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 4.5% in the last 30 days, but a higher Most Accurate Estimate results in a positive Earnings ESP of 2.61% [18]