XUEDA(000526) 新浪财经· Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-27 00:32Event Overview - In 2024, the company's revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, net profit excluding non-recurring items, and operating cash flow were 2.786 billion, 180 million, 164 million, and 667 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 25.90%, 16.84%, 16.25%, and 9.77% [1] - In Q4 2024, the company's revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 539 million, 5 million, and 3 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 28.6%, -89.2%, and -88.2%, indicating a slight profit in the second half of the year despite rapid revenue recovery in Q4 [1] - The increase in operating cash flow was primarily due to an increase in advance payments for educational training services [1] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 864 million, 74 million, and 59 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 22.5%, 47.0%, and 27.9% [1] - The significant growth in net profit was mainly attributed to investment income from recovering previously impaired equity and a decrease in expense ratios [1] Business Segmentation - The education training, housing rental, equipment rental, and other income segments generated 2.7 billion, 1 million, 4 million, and 840 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 25.64%, -91.67%, -20.00%, and 54.90% respectively [3] - The company has over 300 personalized learning centers and 30+ full-time training bases as of the end of 2024, with revenue from Beijing Xueda Information reaching 2.759 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.5% [3] - The company has made significant acquisitions in vocational education and established deep collaborations with various vocational colleges and industry leaders [3] Profitability Analysis - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 34.6%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.9 percentage points, primarily due to increased teacher costs and lower capacity utilization from school expansions [4] - In Q4 2024, the gross margin dropped to 32.8%, a year-on-year decline of 12.6 percentage points, with a net profit margin of 0.7% [4] - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 32.0%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.4 percentage points, while the net profit margin improved to 8.5% [5] Cash Flow and Liabilities - As of Q1 2025, the company's contract liabilities amounted to 1.139 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.9%, primarily due to increased advance payments in the education training business [6] Investment Outlook - Short-term profitability may be impacted by intensified competition and expansion costs, but long-term growth is expected in personalized training and high-margin full-time education services [7] - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2026 to 3.382 billion and 4.035 billion yuan, respectively, while lowering net profit forecasts to 255 million and 364 million yuan [7] - The projected earnings per share for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 2.09, 2.99, and 3.84 yuan, with a maintained "buy" rating based on the closing price of 54.2 yuan on April 25, 2025 [7]