Jinduicheng Molybdenum (SH:601958) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-27 02:38Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q1 2025 financial results, showing a revenue of 3.282 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.49%, and a year-on-year increase of 14.49%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 678 million yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 13.93% and a year-on-year increase of 7.07% [1]. Financial Performance - The performance met expectations, with price increases contributing to year-on-year growth. The price of molybdenum concentrate in Q1 2025 decreased by 4.15% quarter-on-quarter but increased by 6.04% year-on-year to 3,524 yuan per ton [2]. - The gross margin decreased by 5.28 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 6.27 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in self-produced ore sales [2]. - The company achieved a reduction in operating expenses, with total expenses decreasing by 42.55% quarter-on-quarter and 2.47% year-on-year to 158 million yuan [2]. Capital Structure and Production - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company's asset-liability ratio was 9.81%, showing a decrease of 2.47 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 0.78 percentage points year-on-year, indicating ongoing optimization of the capital structure [3]. - The company has made progress on 13 key national projects since 2024, including the industrialization of low-oxygen molybdenum powder and the mass supply of 130 kg molybdenum heads [3]. Market Outlook - The company remains optimistic about the increase in molybdenum prices, with significant earnings elasticity expected. The steel industry's demand is stable, and the profitability of steel mills may benefit from supply optimization and cost reductions [3]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the anticipated rise in molybdenum prices due to its stable and mature mining operations [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts revenues of 14.3 billion yuan, 15.6 billion yuan, and 18.3 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with net profits of 3.2 billion yuan, 3.5 billion yuan, and 3.8 billion yuan respectively. The expected EPS for these years is 0.98, 1.07, and 1.19 yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 10, 9, and 8 times [4].