Vatee万腾平台：美联储官员暗示6月可能降息，市场预期如何变化？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Federal Reserve official Harker hinted at a possible interest rate cut in June, emphasizing the need for patience in monetary policy amid high uncertainty [1][3][5] - Harker's statement reflects a cautious approach by the Federal Reserve in the current economic climate, aligning with recent comments from other officials, indicating flexibility in policy-making [3][5] - The market's expectations for a rate cut in June have significantly increased, with a 57.8% probability of a 25 basis point cut and a 4.9% probability of a 50 basis point cut according to CME's FedWatch tool [4] Group 2 - Recent economic data presents a complex picture, with some indicators showing growth, such as a stable job market and increased consumer spending, while inflation pressures and global uncertainties raise concerns about sustainable growth [5] - The Federal Reserve must consider various factors in its rate policy, including economic growth, inflation levels, employment conditions, and global economic situations, while balancing growth and inflation control [5] - The current inflation level in the U.S. has decreased from its peak but remains above the Fed's 2% target, necessitating careful monitoring of economic data and global developments for future rate decisions [5]