关税阻断中国烟花供应，美媒担忧：美国明年怎么庆祝建国250周年

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. fireworks industry is facing a significant crisis due to high tariffs imposed by President Trump on Chinese imports, which could lead to a shortage of fireworks for the upcoming 250th anniversary of American independence in 2026 [1][2][4]. Group 1: Industry Impact - Over 90% of fireworks used in the U.S. are sourced from China, and the tariffs have caused American fireworks companies to halt orders from Chinese suppliers, leading to potential shortages [1][2]. - In 2024, the U.S. imported $508 million worth of fireworks, with 95% coming from China, highlighting the industry's heavy reliance on Chinese manufacturing [2]. - The American Pyrotechnics Association (APA) has indicated that the current tariffs are severely impacting the industry, with companies unable to absorb costs or pass them on to consumers, potentially leading to industry consolidation [4][5]. Group 2: Historical Context - The U.S. fireworks industry has declined significantly since the mid-20th century due to increased regulation and the inability to produce fireworks domestically, resulting in a reliance on imports from China [5]. - The trade war initiated by Trump in 2019 initially recognized the unique nature of the fireworks industry, leading to a temporary exemption from tariffs, but the current situation has not seen similar relief [5]. Group 3: Economic Consequences - The tariffs are expected to have broader economic implications, with evidence suggesting that they are suppressing economic activity and could lead to increased prices in the near future [6][7]. - Shipping data indicates a significant drop in container orders from China to the U.S., with a 60% decrease in the three weeks following the tariff implementation, which could result in shortages similar to those experienced during the pandemic [6][7]. - The manufacturing sector in the U.S. is experiencing one of its largest monthly declines on record, raising concerns about the risk of recession as a result of the ongoing trade tensions [7].