Certara, Inc. (CERT) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Core Viewpoint - Certara, Inc. is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended March 2025, with earnings expected at $0.13 per share, reflecting a 30% increase, and revenues projected at $106 million, a 9.7% rise from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for May 5, and the stock may experience upward movement if the reported figures exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.63% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [10][11]. - Certara's Zacks Rank is currently 3 (Hold), which does not strongly indicate a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Certara exceeded the expected earnings of $0.13 per share by delivering $0.15, resulting in a surprise of +15.38% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, Certara has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [13]. Industry Context - Exact Sciences, a peer in the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, is expected to report earnings of $0.37 per share, reflecting a 26% year-over-year increase, with revenues projected at $689.35 million, an 8.1% increase [17]. - Exact Sciences has an Earnings ESP of 61.75% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a higher likelihood of surpassing the consensus EPS estimate [18].