Core Insights - Certara, Inc. is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, having surpassed earnings estimates by an average of 11.54% in the last two quarters [1][2]. Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Certara achieved earnings of $0.14 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.13 per share, resulting in a surprise of 7.69% [2]. - In the previous quarter, the company was expected to post earnings of $0.13 per share but delivered $0.15 per share, leading to a surprise of 15.38% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Certara have been trending upward, with a positive Earnings ESP of +2.44%, indicating increased analyst optimism regarding the company's earnings prospects [5][8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that stocks with this combination beat estimates nearly 70% of the time [6][8]. Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may be more accurate [7]. - A negative Earnings ESP can reduce the predictive power of the metric, but it does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [9]. Importance of Earnings ESP - Many companies beat consensus EPS estimates, but this is not the sole reason for share price gains; thus, checking a company's Earnings ESP before quarterly releases is crucial for investment decisions [10].

A major burden in life science remains the cost associated with drug development. Estimated at $1B to bring a drug from preclinical research to commercialization, solutions are needed to reduce those costs. Among these solutions, Model-Informed Drug Development (MIDD) is one ofAt ELAM1, we empower financial professionals and investors with the scientific and clinical expertise required to navigate the complexities of the healthcare sector. By bridging the gap between cutting-edge science and financial strat ...

Core Viewpoint - Certara, Inc. will release its financial results for Q2 2025 on August 6, 2025, after market close, followed by a conference call at 5:00 PM ET to discuss the results [1]. Company Overview - Certara is a global leader in model-informed drug development, utilizing biosimulation software, technology, and services to enhance traditional drug discovery and development [3]. - The company serves over 2,400 clients, including biopharmaceutical companies, academic institutions, and regulatory agencies across 70 countries [3]. Investor Information - Investors interested in the conference call must register online, with a recommendation to do so at least one day in advance [1]. - A live and archived webcast of the conference call will be available on the "Investors" section of Certara's website [2]. Contact Information - Investor Relations contact is David Deuchler from Gilmartin Group [4]. - Media contact is Alyssa Horowitz [4].

Certara William F. Feehery, Ph.D. Chief Executive Officer William Blair 25th Annual Growth Stock Conference Wednesday, June 4th, 2025 Disclaimer Numerical figures in the presentation have been subject to rounding adjustments. Acc ordingly , numeric al f igures shown as tota ls in various tables may not be arithmetic aggregations of the figures that precede them. Trademarks and Service Marks The Certara design logo, "Certara," and our other registered or common law trademarks, service marks or trade names ap ...

Summary of Certara (CERT) FY Conference Call - June 04, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Certara (CERT) - **Industry**: Pharmaceutical Drug Development - **Focus**: Model-informed drug development and biosimulation to improve drug development efficiency and success rates Key Points and Arguments 1. **Drug Development Challenges**: Nearly 90% of new medicines entering clinical trials fail, with development costs ranging from $2 to $3 billion, primarily due to unsuccessful trials [3][4] 2. **Impact of Improvements**: A mere 3% improvement in drug development success rates could save approximately $300 million per approved drug [5] 3. **Biosimulation Platform**: Certara's biosimulation platform allows for modeling disease and drug interactions, helping clients save time and costs while enhancing scientific understanding [6] 4. **Client Base**: Certara serves around 2,400 customers, including all major pharmaceutical companies, with over 90% of FDA-approved drugs in the last decade utilizing their technology [7] 5. **Financial Performance**: The company operates with an EBITDA margin in the low 30s and is profitable, with ongoing investments in software growth [8] 6. **Market Potential**: Certara estimates a total addressable market (TAM) of approximately $4 billion for biosimulation services, with significant growth opportunities [16] 7. **Regulatory Support**: The FDA has increasingly recognized and approved the use of biosimulation in drug development, with a rise in guidance documents over the years [15] 8. **Shift from Animal Testing**: Recent FDA announcements to phase out animal testing, particularly for monoclonal antibodies, present a favorable environment for Certara's biosimulation models [17][19] 9. **Product Suite**: Certara's offerings include: - **SimShip Simulator**: Models drug kinetics across diverse human populations [22] - **Phoenix**: An analytics tool for fitting clinical trial data to models [28] - **Pinnacle 21**: A data standardization tool used by the FDA for clinical trial submissions [30] - **ChemAxon**: A chemical informatics platform acquired to enhance drug discovery processes [31] 10. **AI Integration**: Certara is incorporating AI into its biosimulation products, enhancing usability and productivity, with AI-related revenue already in the millions [32][33] 11. **Acquisition Strategy**: The company has made strategic acquisitions to bolster its capabilities, including Pinnacle 21, Applied Biomath, and ChemAxon [35] 12. **Growth Strategy**: Certara is focusing on increasing its software revenue, which has a high barrier to entry, while reviewing its services segment for potential restructuring [40][41] Additional Important Insights - **Clinical Trial Efficiency**: Certara's technology has enabled clients to avoid numerous costly clinical trials, demonstrating significant cost savings [26] - **Market Trends**: The increasing adoption of biosimulation in the pharmaceutical industry is reflected in the exponential growth of related publications over the past 25 years [14] - **Regulatory Landscape**: The FDA's evolving stance on biosimulation and data standardization is crucial for the future of drug development and Certara's business model [15][30] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting Certara's role in transforming drug development through innovative technologies and strategic growth initiatives.

Summary of Certara (CERT) 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - Certara is a software and services company specializing in biosimulation and model-informed drug development, with approximately 45% of its business derived from software and the remaining from services [3][4] Key Financial Performance - The company performed in line with expectations in Q1, with software aided by the acquisition of Chemaxon in Q4 of the previous year [3][4] - The services business also met expectations, showing mid-single-digit growth, supported by a return to growth in regulatory services [3][4] Industry Dynamics - The FDA's recent announcement to reduce animal testing requirements positions Certara favorably, as it aligns with their existing products and services [5][6] - The directive is expected to drive incremental revenue, particularly in their SIMSIP and QSP product areas [6][22] Customer Engagement - Certara maintains a strong relationship with the FDA, which is a significant user of their software, and they continue to engage in constructive dialogue [8][9] - The company aims to deepen penetration within large pharmaceutical companies, focusing on expanding their footprint into the preclinical stage of drug development [10][11] Challenges and Opportunities - Tier three customers (biotechs) are facing a challenging funding environment, which could impact growth despite strong Q1 performance [13][14] - Certara is investing in R&D and enhancing AI capabilities to improve their software offerings, including the recent launch of Co Author for regulatory writing [16][19] Product Development - The Non-Animal Navigator was launched in response to the FDA's directive, aimed at helping customers transition away from animal testing [21][23] - The integration of Chemaxon is expected to expand Certara's capabilities into the discovery phase of drug development, enhancing their overall service offerings [27][28] Market Outlook - The company anticipates continued challenges in the end market environment, particularly with tier one customers, but remains optimistic about growth opportunities stemming from the FDA directive [52][53] - Certara's capital allocation strategy includes a focus on M&A to enhance their software capabilities, with a goal to increase the software revenue mix from 45% to 50% by year-end [48][49] Conclusion - Certara is well-positioned to capitalize on regulatory changes and expand its market presence through strategic investments and product development, despite facing headwinds in the biotech funding environment [52][53]

First Quarter 2025 Financial Results May 5, 2025 Disclaimer The Certara design logo, "Certara," and our other registered or common law trademarks, service marks or trade names appearing in this presentation are our property. Solely for convenience, our trademarks, tradenames, and service marks referred to in this presentation appear without the registered mark or trademark symbols, but those references are not intended to indicate, in any way, that we will not assert, to the fullest extent under applicable ...

Core Insights - Certara, Inc. reported quarterly earnings of $0.14 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.13 per share, and up from $0.10 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 7.69% [1] - The company posted revenues of $106 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.01%, and an increase from $96.65 million year-over-year [2] - Certara shares have increased approximately 22% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with a -3.3% decline in the S&P 500 [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.11 on revenues of $103.7 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.45 on revenues of $421.17 million [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Certara is mixed, leading to a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, to which Certara belongs, is currently ranked in the top 34% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to lower-ranked industries [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]

Certara (CERT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 05, 2025 05:00 PM ET Company Participants David Deuchler - IRWilliam Feehery - CEOJohn Gallagher - Chief Financial OfficerDaniel Clark - VP - Equity ResearchScott Schoenhaus - Managing DirectorDavid Windley - Managing DirectorJeff Garro - Managing DirectorChristine Rains - Healthcare Equity Research AssociateConstantine Davides - Managing DirectorJacqueline Kisa - Equity Research AssociateParth Patel - Equity Research Associate Conference Call Participants Joe Vruwin ...

Certara (CERT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 05, 2025 05:00 PM ET Speaker0 Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Certara First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, Pl ...