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西部矿业(601168):玉龙技改如期放量 铜钼等主营产品产销两旺

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025, with significant revenue and profit growth, driven by increased production and favorable metal prices [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 16.542 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 50.74% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 24.37% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 808 million yuan, up 9.61% year-on-year and up 305.62% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Production Volume - The company saw substantial growth in the production and sales of its main products in Q1 2025: - Copper production reached 44,100 tons, a year-on-year increase of 14.35% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.81% [2]. - Zinc production was 30,000 tons, up 18.17% year-on-year and 6.95% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - Lead production was 16,700 tons, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 38.38% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 32.76% [2]. - Molybdenum production was 1,248 tons, up 43.64% year-on-year and 20.37% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - Iron concentrate production was 337,900 tons, up 14.69% year-on-year but down 13.48% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Future Prospects - The company is progressing with the preliminary procedures for the Yulong Phase III project, which is expected to enhance its production capacity significantly, reaching 30 million tons per year upon completion [2]. - The smelting segment also showed improved profitability, with copper smelting production at 90,100 tons, a year-on-year increase of 54.83% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.64% [2]. Price Trends - In Q1 2025, metal prices showed a notable upward trend: - Domestic copper price was 77,000 yuan/ton, up 11.4% year-on-year and 2.3% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - Zinc price was 24,000 yuan/ton, up 14.4% year-on-year but down 5.8% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - Lead price was 17,000 yuan/ton, up 6.0% year-on-year and 1.1% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - Molybdenum concentrate price was 3,509 yuan/ton, up 5.4% year-on-year but down 5.1% quarter-on-quarter [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 1.43 yuan, 1.79 yuan, and 2.12 yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11, 9, and 7 respectively [3].