Caitong Securities(SH:601108) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-29 02:35Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in overall revenue for 2024, but showed growth in net profit, with significant fluctuations in different business segments [1][5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 6.29 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 3.6%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.34 billion, an increase of 3.9% [1] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw operating revenue of 1.84 billion, up 18.0% year-on-year and 30.3% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit of 868 million, up 15.5% year-on-year and 59.2% quarter-on-quarter [1] - For Q1 2025, operating revenue was 1.07 billion, down 24.2% year-on-year, and net profit was 290 million, down 36.5% year-on-year [1] Brokerage Business - The brokerage business showed significant growth in 2024, with revenue of 1.41 billion, an increase of 17.7%, accounting for 22.5% of total operating revenue [2] - In Q1 2025, brokerage revenue reached 420 million, up 41.4% year-on-year, representing 39.4% of total operating revenue [2] - The average daily trading volume for the entire market in 2025 was 17.031 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 70.3% [2] Investment Banking - The investment banking sector continued to decline, with revenue of 520 million in 2024, down 31.3% year-on-year [3] - The equity underwriting scale for 2024 was 1.42 billion, a significant drop of 83.3%, ranking 31st [3] - In Q1 2025, the equity underwriting scale was 700 million, with two IPO projects in reserve, ranking 23rd [3] Asset Management - Asset management revenue for 2024 was 1.55 billion, a slight decrease of 0.3%, with total assets under management at 282.2 billion, up 2.0% year-on-year [4] - The net profit for the asset management subsidiary was 520 million, an increase of 12% year-on-year [4] - Investment income (including fair value) for 2024 was 1.5 billion, down 14.5% year-on-year [4] Profit Forecast - The company revised its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 2.485 billion and 2.631 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.21% and 5.86% [5] - The estimated net profit for 2027 is projected to be 2.761 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.94% [5] - The current market capitalization corresponds to PE ratios of 11.87x, 11.21x, and 10.68x for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5]