HQTI(SH:688281) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-29 02:40Core Viewpoint - 华秦科技 reported a revenue of 1.139 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.17%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 414 million yuan, up 23.56% year-on-year. The Q4 performance showed a revenue of 401 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.27% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 58.92% [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company achieved revenue growth across all business segments, with special functional materials generating 1.023 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.27%, and a gross margin of 55.12%, down 4.01 percentage points [2] - Acoustic metamaterials and instruments generated 44 million yuan, up 143.33% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 21.19%, down 11.05 percentage points [2] - Aerospace component processing revenue reached 62 million yuan, a significant increase of 461.84% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 12.76%, up 19.34 percentage points [2] - The newly introduced ceramic matrix composites generated 200.88 thousand yuan with a gross margin of 24.67% [2] - The overall gross margin for the company in 2024 was 50.69%, down 7.09 percentage points, primarily due to underutilization of production capacity in subsidiaries [2] Short-term Performance and Forecast - In Q1 2025, the company experienced a short-term decline in performance, with revenue of 241 million yuan, down 2.48% year-on-year, and a net profit of 63 million yuan, down 45.23% year-on-year [3] - The decline was attributed to increased costs from trial production of research and development products, low capacity utilization in subsidiaries, and higher R&D expenses [3] - The R&D expense ratio for Q1 2025 was 12.76%, up 7.26 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross margin was 40.79%, down 17.97 percentage points [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to delays in military product demand and uncertainties in the mass production timeline of research and development products, the company has adjusted its revenue and gross margin forecasts for special functional materials [4] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 462 million yuan, 583 million yuan, and 717 million yuan, respectively, with significant downward adjustments from previous estimates [4] - The target price for the company is set at 85.32 yuan, based on a 36 times PE ratio for 2025, reflecting a reduction from the previous target of 111.80 yuan [4]