新澳股份(603889)：2024年全年收入增长9% 近两季度增长放缓

Core Insights - The company experienced a revenue growth of 9% in 2024, driven by the rapid expansion of cashmere yarn business and steady growth in wool processing and wool tops [1] - The net profit for 2024 was 428 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.96% [1] - The company’s gross margin improved to 18.98%, up by 0.36 percentage points, mainly due to the enhanced gross margin in wool processing and wool tops [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 4.841 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.07% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 428 million yuan, up 5.96% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 409 million yuan, an increase of 5.23% [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities decreased by 33.03% to 370 million yuan, primarily due to increased payments for goods and services [1] Business Segment Analysis - The wool processing business generated revenue of 2.543 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 26.78%, reflecting a 1.72 percentage point increase [3] - The cashmere yarn business saw revenue of 1.548 billion yuan, a significant increase of 26.65%, although the gross margin decreased to 11.13% [3] - The wool tops business reported revenue of 666 million yuan, with a gross margin of 5.22%, up by 1.63 percentage points [3] Capacity Expansion and Strategic Moves - The company is progressing with its "60,000 spindles high-end worsted ecological yarn project," with 15,000 spindles now fully operational [4] - The subsidiary in Vietnam is advancing its "50,000 spindles high-end worsted ecological yarn textile dyeing project," with the first production line entering trial production in November 2024 [4] - The introduction of Chanel's BARRIE as a strategic investor in the UK subsidiary is expected to enhance brand image and profitability [3] Market Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to see a gradual release of capacity over the next two years, which may enhance market share [5] - Despite a slowdown in revenue growth in recent quarters, the company is projected to achieve net profits of 440 million yuan, 490 million yuan, and 560 million yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting growth rates of 3.6%, 11.0%, and 14.3% respectively [5] - The target price is set between 7.9 and 8.6 yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 13-14x for 2025, maintaining an "outperform" rating [5]