KEBODA(SH:603786) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-29 02:40Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue growth for 2024, with a revenue of 5.968 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.03%, and a net profit of 772 million yuan, up 26.81% year-on-year. However, the net profit for Q4 2024 was slightly below expectations due to fluctuations in gross margin, while Q1 2025 net profit met expectations [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Q4 2024 revenue reached a record high of 1.695 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 18.42% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.78%. In contrast, Q1 2025 revenue decreased by 3.03% year-on-year and 18.93% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to a high base from Q1 2024 and changes in chip compensation income [2]. - The gross margin for Q4 2024 was 28.30%, showing a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.36 percentage points, while Q1 2025 gross margin was 26.99%, down 1.31 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The decline in Q1 2025 gross margin was attributed to reduced chip compensation and a shift in product mix towards lower-margin products [2]. - In Q4 2024, the total expense ratio was 14.53%, an increase of 2.10 percentage points from Q3 2024, mainly due to higher sales service fees and foreign exchange losses. In Q1 2025, the expense ratio decreased to 10.33%, leading to a recovery in net profit margin to 15.90%, up 5.69 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. Group 2: Global Expansion and Market Position - The company emphasized its global expansion as a key highlight, securing exclusive contracts for the fifth-generation light control from major automotive manufacturers, including Mercedes-Benz and Volkswagen. In 2024, overseas revenue accounted for approximately one-third of total revenue, with 15% of new projects being international [4]. - The company plans to establish a factory in Europe by the end of 2025, indicating a commitment to further global market penetration [4]. Group 3: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company adjusted its revenue forecast for 2025 downwards, expecting revenues of 7.83 billion yuan, 10.15 billion yuan, and 12.56 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with net profits of 1.05 billion yuan, 1.438 billion yuan, and 1.837 billion yuan respectively. The target price for the company is set at 77.75 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [5].