Luxi Chemical(SZ:000830) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-29 02:38Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 29.763 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.4%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.029 billion yuan, corresponding to an earnings per share of 1.06 yuan, which is a significant increase of 147.8% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - For 2024, the company's revenue was 29.763 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.029 billion yuan, and earnings per share of 1.06 yuan, marking a 147.8% increase year-on-year [1] - In Q4 2024, revenue reached 8.184 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 10.4% and a year-on-year growth of 8.6%, while net profit was 454 million yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 45.5% and a year-on-year increase of 12.5% [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue was 7.290 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.0% but a year-on-year decrease of 10.9%, and net profit was 413 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 27.3% and a year-on-year decrease of 9.0% [1] Cost Structure - In 2024, the company's sales expenses increased by 29.5%, while management expenses decreased by 3.8%, financial expenses decreased by 36.5%, and R&D expenses increased by 3.0% [1] - The reduction in financial expenses was primarily due to a decrease in interest-bearing debt and borrowing rates [1] Product Performance - The company experienced growth in chemical and fertilizer product sales, with revenues from chemical new materials, basic chemicals, and fertilizers increasing by 26.8%, -7.4%, and 17.9% year-on-year, respectively [2] - The total sales volume for chemical manufacturing and fertilizer manufacturing reached 5.0226 million tons and 1.9001 million tons, representing year-on-year increases of 13.0% and 37.6%, respectively [2] - The increase in production capacity from the company's caprolactam and nylon-6 project contributed significantly to sales growth [2] Market Trends - Formic acid prices have been on the rise, benefiting leading companies in the sector, with average prices increasing from 2,426 yuan/ton in Q3 2024 to 3,250 yuan/ton by April 25, 2025 [3] - The company is a leading producer of formic acid with an annual capacity of 400,000 tons and a market share exceeding 50% [3] - The company has ongoing projects valued at 4.760 billion yuan, including organic silicon and downstream ethylene integration projects, which are expected to contribute to future growth [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to a decline in prices for products like dibutyl phthalate, the company's net profit forecast for 2025 has been reduced by 28% to 1.730 billion yuan [4] - The 2026 profit forecast is set at 1.972 billion yuan, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E ratio of 12.7 for 2025 and 11.1 for 2026 [4] - The target price is maintained at 14.50 yuan, reflecting a potential upside of 26.5% based on the projected P/E ratios for 2025 and 2026 [4]