科锐国际(300662)：回暖趋势延续 盈利弹性有望释放

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 11.788 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.55%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 205 million yuan, up 2.42% year-on-year, slightly exceeding previous forecasts [1] - In Q1 2025, the company continued its recovery trend with a revenue of 3.303 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.13%, and a net profit of 57.78 million yuan, up 42.15% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The flexible employment model is the main driver of revenue growth, with the number of outsourced flexible employees exceeding 47,400 as of Q1 2025, showing significant improvement over the last five quarters [2] - The company’s domestic business is recovering well, supported by policies promoting employment and domestic demand, which enhances the profitability elasticity of recruitment services [4] Group 2: AI and Technology Integration - The company has integrated its industrial interconnection platforms and deepened the application of AI in business processes, launching several AI-enabled tools that significantly reduce workload and improve accuracy [3] - The platform "禾蛙" delivered over 15,000 positions in Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 119.05%, indicating strong demand for AI-enabled services [3] Group 3: Financial Projections - The company has raised its profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and introduced projections for 2027, expecting net profits of 297 million yuan, 350 million yuan, and 403 million yuan respectively, reflecting significant upward adjustments [4] - The target price for the company is set at 37.77 yuan based on a 25x PE ratio for 2025, indicating a strong market position and operational efficiency [4]