双环传动(002472)：业绩稳健向上机器人减速器加速成长

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.78 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.8% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.02 billion yuan, up 25.5% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 1.00 billion yuan, reflecting a 24.8% increase [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.04 billion yuan, down 7.4% year-on-year and 15.7% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The net profit for Q4 2024 was 286 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 26.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.9% [2] - The gross profit margin for Q4 2024 was 31.0%, up 6.5 percentage points year-on-year and 7.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Business Segments - The decline in revenue for Q4 2024 was primarily due to a contraction in steel sales, with steel trading revenues of 530 million yuan in H1 2024 and 100 million yuan in H2 2024 [2] - The passenger vehicle segment saw sales of 8.859 million units in Q4 2024, an increase of 12.4% year-on-year and 32.2% quarter-on-quarter [2] Market Expansion - The company holds a 40%-50% market share in the domestic new energy market for gear systems as of 2024, with significant order growth for coaxial reducers due to their technological advantages [3] - The company is accelerating the construction of its Hungary facility to meet European market demands and enhance its influence in the region [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 10.47 billion yuan, 12.47 billion yuan, and 14.96 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 1.24 billion yuan, 1.52 billion yuan, and 1.87 billion yuan respectively [4] - The company is positioned as a leader in precision drive systems and is expanding into intelligent drive mechanisms and robotic joints [4]