证 券 研 究 报 告 汽车行业海外销量点评 10 月北美需求下滑，欧洲增幅收窄 事项： ❑ 10 月全球轻型车销量约 790 万辆、同比+2.6%、环比+0.5%，海外合计约 477 万辆、同比-0.4%、环比-1.5%，其中北美 156 万辆、同比-5.0%、环比+1.1%， 欧洲约 148 万辆、同比+2.9%、环比-7.5%，中国 313 万辆、同比+7.6%、环 比+3.7%。 ❑ 11 月速报：据 Marklines，估计 11 月北美轻型车销量同比-6.3%，欧洲+2.1%。 评论： 行业研究 汽车 2025 年 12 月 16 日 电话：021-20572543 邮箱：zhangchenghang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360519070003 证券分析师：林栖宇 邮箱：linxiyu@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525070002 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 238 | 0.03 | | 总市值(亿元) | 46,846.67 | 3.95 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 35,485.80 | ...

Group 1 - The mechanical sector has shown strong performance in 2025, with the Shenwan Mechanical Equipment Index rising by 36.11%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 19.74 percentage points and the Shenzhen Component Index by 8.78 percentage points [4][16][19] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the mechanical industry reported revenues of 15,135.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1,080.76 billion yuan, up 16.80% year-on-year [4][22][27] - The public fund allocation ratio for the mechanical equipment sector increased by 0.25 percentage points in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, indicating improved fundamentals and positive policy impacts [29] Group 2 - The equipment manufacturing industry has maintained export resilience, with significant growth in new overseas markets. From January to October 2025, the export delivery value of general equipment, specialized equipment, and transportation equipment reached 6,173.20 billion yuan, 5,319.30 billion yuan, and 4,124 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.5%, 9.3%, and 24.20% [5][33][36] - The overseas sales of engineering machinery continued to grow, with a year-on-year increase of 11.84% in export value from January to October 2025, driven by technological innovation and diversified market strategies [37][41] - The motorcycle industry has established a strong competitive advantage in overseas markets, with exports reaching 1,101.85 million units and 7.278 billion USD in value from January to October 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.28% and 28.2% respectively [42][43] Group 3 - The emergence of new manufacturing scenarios signifies a profound transformation from "single technology upgrades" to "systematic ecological restructuring," enhancing production efficiency, product quality, and innovation capabilities [5][46] - Human-shaped robots are expected to address customization challenges in traditional manufacturing, with a market space projected to expand significantly as they transition from industrial applications to household use [47][54] - The intelligent logistics equipment market in China is expected to grow rapidly, with a projected market size of 1,261 billion yuan in 2025, driven by advancements in IoT and AI technologies [64][72]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report aims to summarize important deep reports, significant commentary, and marginal changes within the large manufacturing sector [1] - Key companies highlighted include Yokogawa Precision, Zhejiang Rongtai, Shanghai Yanpu, and Sany Heavy Industry among others [2][3] Group 2: Industry Performance - As of December 12, 2025, the best-performing indices in the last week were: Communication (+6.27%), National Defense and Military Industry (+2.8%), and Electronics (+2.63%) [4][19] - Within the large manufacturing sector, the top three indices were: Industrial Gases (+4.62%), ChiNext Index (+2.74%), and Semiconductor Index (+2.68%) [4][22] Group 3: Company Analysis - Yindu Co., Ltd. - Yindu Co., Ltd. is a leading player in commercial kitchen equipment, with a revenue CAGR of 10.6% from 2017 to 2024, growing from 1.36 billion to 2.75 billion [7] - The global commercial kitchen equipment market is projected to grow from $37.4 billion in 2024 to $54.35 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 4.8% [8] - The company has a strong overseas presence, with 93% of its revenue coming from international markets in the first half of 2025 [8] Group 4: Company Analysis - Shuanghuan Transmission - Shuanghuan Transmission has achieved a remarkable CAGR of 112% in net profit from 2020 to 2024, driven by its three main business segments: gears, smart actuators, and reducers [9] - The gear business is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10% from 2024 to 2027, benefiting from the trend of electric vehicles [9] - The company is expanding its global footprint with production facilities in Hungary and Vietnam, which are expected to enhance its growth prospects [9] Group 5: Company Analysis - Western Superconducting Technologies - Western Superconducting Technologies is focusing on high-performance superconducting materials and has established a joint venture for nuclear fusion supply [10] - The company is the only global producer of NbTi superconducting wire and has a production capacity of 2,000 kilometers per year [10] - The high-end titanium alloy business is a stable revenue source, contributing 87% of revenue in the first half of 2025, with applications in aerospace and deep-sea technology [12]

Group 1 - The report highlights the recent performance of various industries, with notable gains in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, electronics, and power equipment, while retail and real estate sectors faced declines [1][1][1] - The central economic work conference emphasized the importance of technological breakthroughs and supply-demand optimization, indicating a shift towards quality improvement in economic growth [11][12][19] - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing significant growth, with the establishment of a dedicated regulatory body and a notable increase in the commercial aerospace index, which has risen by 46.52% since April 7 [47][48] Group 2 - The report indicates a seasonal recovery in social financing, with November seeing an increase of 24,885 billion yuan, driven primarily by government bond issuance [4][7] - The credit environment is showing signs of marginal improvement, particularly in corporate loans, which increased by 6,100 billion yuan in November, reflecting a recovery in demand [5][6] - The report notes that the retail sector is undergoing a transformation, with a focus on quality, as highlighted by the Ministry of Commerce's emphasis on retail quality upgrades [1][1][1] Group 3 - The report discusses the rising interest in inquiry transfers, which have seen a significant increase in both project numbers and transfer scale, indicating a growing trend in the market [51][52] - The technology sector is expected to remain a key focus, with upcoming events such as the Volcano Engine FORCE conference anticipated to showcase advancements in AI and cloud services [56]

内容概要：汽车减速器作为汽车传动系统的关键部件，核心功能是实现"降速增扭"，为车辆提供适宜的 行驶动力。当前，中国汽车减速器行业已形成完整且协同紧密的产业链：上游以原材料与核心零部件为 主，国产化替代持续加速；中游制造环节由博格华纳等国际巨头主导高端市场，而精锻科技、双环传动 等本土企业凭借精密制造能力，已在主流及新能源细分市场占据重要地位；下游需求端，新能源汽车 （尤其是纯电与混动车型）对产品轻量化、高效率的苛刻要求，正强力驱动中游技术迭代与产品升级。 从市场规模看，行业整体呈现稳健增长，其增长潜力与汽车产业，特别是新能源汽车的爆发式增长深度 绑定。市场竞争呈现"中外企业同台竞技、细分市场各有侧重"的清晰格局，本土企业正通过技术突破， 在新能源汽车齿轮、集成化电驱动总成等赛道实现快速崛起。展望未来，行业将沿着深度技术迭代、产 业整合与生态协同的方向发展，产品将持续向高转速、低噪声、轻量化及"多合一"集成化演进，在政策 支持与国产替代浪潮下，构建更加高效、自主的创新产业生态。 上市企业：双环传动（002472.SZ）、精锻科技（300258.SZ）、中马传动（603767.SH）、精进电动 （688280.S ...

12月11日，A股市场再度回调，沪指弱势三连阴。截至收盘，机器人ETF基金（159213）收跌1.79%，终结三连阳！资金逆势涌入，机器人ETF基金 （159213）盘中获300万份净申购，合计净流入超340万元！ 机器人ETF基金（159213）标的指数成分股多数回调，云天励飞跌超3%，石头科技、中控技术等跌超2%，双环传动、汇川技术等跌超1%，科大讯飞等回 调。 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 申万一级行业 | 涨跌幅 | 估算权重 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 300124 | 汇川技术 | 机械设备 | -1.29% | 10.63% | | 2 | 002230 | 科大讯飞 | 计算机 | -0.59% | 8.95% | | 3 | 002236 | 大华股份 | 计算机 | -1.90% | 5.07% | | 4 | 688169 | 石头科技 | 家用电器 | -2.51% | 4.48% | | 5 | 688777 | 中控技术 | 机械设备 | -2.01% | 4.46% | | 6 | 002008 | 大族激光 ...

2020-2024 年公司归母净利润CAGR 为112%，加权ROE 为9%（1）三大业务共同驱动公司成长：公司深 耕齿轮行业40 年，拓展第二成长曲线智能执行机构业务、减速器业务打开未来市场空间。2020-2024 年 公司营业收入、归母净利润CAGR 分别为24%、112%，2020-2024 年加权ROE 为9%。 （2）公司主要业务包括齿轮、智能执行机构、减速器，2025 年上半年收入占比分别为82%、10%、 8%。 2、智能执行机构业务（原民生齿轮）：应用场景持续拓宽，预计2024-2027 年CAGR 为40%。 1、齿轮业务：技术升级与全球化驱动增长，预计2024-2027 年CAGR 为10%。 （1）行业规模：民生齿轮是指用于日常生活类产品的小模数齿轮，是小模数齿轮市场的基本构成。据 QYResearch，2024 年全球小模数齿轮市场销售额达12.6亿美元，预计2025-2031 年CAGR 为 5%。 （1）行业规模：我国齿轮行业规模超3000 亿，2017-2021 年CAGR 为7%；车用齿轮占全球齿轮市场 62%。 （2）行业趋势：汽车电动化带来整零关系变化，独立第三方齿轮厂商迎 ...

证券代码：002472 证券简称：双环传动 公告编号：2025-079 浙江双环传动机械股份有限公司 2025 年员工持股计划第一次持有人会议决议公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 浙江双环传动机械股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2025 年员工持股计 划第一次持有人会议于 2025 年 12 月 8 日以通讯表决方式召开。会议由公司董事 会秘书陈海霞女士召集并主持，会议通知已于 2025 年 12 月 1 日向全体持有人发 出。会议应出席持有人 352 名，实际出席持有人 351 名，代表公司员工持股计划 份额为 163,830,753 份，占公司本次员工持股计划总份额的 99.90%。会议的召 集、召开和表决程序符合公司员工持股计划的有关规定。本次会议审议并通过了 如下议案： 一、审议通过了《关于设立公司 2025 年员工持股计划管理委员会的议案》 为保证公司 2025 年员工持股计划的顺利进行，保障持有人的合法权益，根 据公司《2025 年员工持股计划（草案）》《2025 年员工持股计划管理办法》等 相关规定，同意设立公司 2025 ...

Global Robotics Global Markets Research EQUITY: TECHNOLOGY 2026 humanoid and quadruped robots outlook China leads on volume, Tesla share uncertain; selectively positive on names with visible growth in core business Tesla Optimus 2026F: 60–80k units with uncertainties around supply chain share The global market for humanoid robots and quadruped robots remains in nascent stages, with mass production timelines progressing more slowly than initial projections amid persistent supply chain complexities and techno ...

证券研究报告 汽车 25 年两新政策刺激行业景气度，反内卷驱动促销力度收敛，25 年 1-10 月 自主份额由去年同期 60%提至 66%，其中中低端增速最快。展望 26 年，我 们预计乘用车批发/零售销量同比+3%/-1%，总量平淡。国内方面，我们汇 总 100+个 26 年新车，预计国内车企竞争更激烈，结构上，自主高端发力大 五/六座 SUV 市场，关注小米 YU9、蔚来 ES7、极氪 8X、启境 F05、问界 M9L、零跑 D19、魏牌 DE 系列等重磅车型。出海方面，我们看好欧洲新能 源市场高增，预计 26 年欧洲新能源销量为 365 万辆（yoy+35%），驱动力 为碳排放法规及优质新车供给，此外我们看好新兴市场自主本地产能放量。 零部件：出海提速，科技突围扩展成长空间 汽零板块 26 年重点关注全球化+新赛道。出海方面，欧美市场空间大 ASP 高+欧洲电动化提速+传统国际巨头处于转型阵痛期+海外主机厂降本需求， 汽零出海迎来结构性机遇，特别关注细分赛道龙头。AI 革新汽零新成长， 汽零企业在技术同源/客户资源导入/制造等优势明显，进攻新领域驱动板块 由传统制造向"科技+高端制造"重塑，有望带来业绩 ...