江苏神通(002438)：业绩符合预期 核电订单高增长

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.143 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.48%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 295 million yuan, up 9.68%, meeting expectations [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The nuclear power sector saw a revenue increase of 7.06% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 36.75%, down 3.09 percentage points [2] - The metallurgy sector experienced a revenue growth of 13.38% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 29.12%, down 2.27 percentage points [2] - The energy services sector benefited from a rise in demand for contract energy management, with revenue increasing by 63.06% year-on-year and a gross margin of 35.86%, up 0.45 percentage points [2] - The energy sector faced a revenue decline of 38.18% year-on-year, but the gross margin improved by 5.06 percentage points to 16.97% [2] Order and Product Structure - The company secured new orders worth 2.521 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 13.55% year-on-year [2] - Metallurgy orders amounted to 409 million yuan, down 9.31% year-on-year, while energy orders were 193 million yuan, down 8.53% year-on-year [2] - Nuclear power orders reached 1.102 billion yuan, a significant increase of 37.24% year-on-year, accounting for 43.7% of new orders, up 16.2 percentage points [2] Research and Development - The company increased its R&D expenditure, with an R&D expense ratio of 4.71% in 2024, up 0.28 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company is positioned to benefit from the rising domestic production rate of nuclear power valves and has a comprehensive product range in hydrogen energy [3] - Long-term investments in the semiconductor equipment sector are aimed at providing critical components for the semiconductor and photovoltaic industries [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 2.392 billion yuan, 2.592 billion yuan, and 2.743 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 11.59%, 8.36%, and 5.83% respectively [4] - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 325 million yuan, 365 million yuan, and 406 million yuan, with growth rates of 10.15%, 12.31%, and 11.26% respectively [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.64 yuan, 0.72 yuan, and 0.80 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]