菲利华(300395)：行业波动业绩筑底 景气上行弹性充足

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.742 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 16.68%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 314 million yuan, down 41.56% year-on-year [1] - The semiconductor business showed steady growth, while fluctuations in demand in aerospace, photovoltaic, and optical communication sectors led to an overall decline in revenue and performance [2] - The gross margin for quartz glass materials decreased due to changes in revenue structure and rising costs in the semiconductor sector, while the company’s net profit margin also declined [3] Financial Performance - For Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 428 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 28.14%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.43%, with a net profit of 80 million yuan, down 37.5% year-on-year but up 27.52% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The quartz glass materials business saw a revenue decline of 21.43% to 1.050 billion yuan, primarily due to significant drops in the aerospace sector [2] - The company’s inventory balance increased to 743 million yuan, with raw materials accounting for 66% of the inventory, indicating a stable production capacity [3] Business Segments - The semiconductor materials and products business achieved an 11% revenue growth in 2024, driven by new high-end products and ongoing efforts for domestic substitution [2] - The aerospace sector experienced a significant downturn, impacting the overall quartz glass materials revenue [2] - The gross margin for quartz glass products decreased due to rising direct labor and manufacturing costs, although improvements in fire processing capabilities are expected to drive future growth [3] Future Outlook - The company projects net profits attributable to shareholders of 607 million yuan, 822 million yuan, and 1.147 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 93%, 35%, and 40% [3]