11部电影扎堆，《水饺皇后》暂领跑：五一档票房破纪录难度大

Core Insights - The upcoming May Day film season is highly anticipated, with total box office revenue in the past two years consistently exceeding 1.5 billion yuan [1] - As of April 28, 2025, the pre-sale box office for new films in the May Day season has surpassed 30 million yuan, with "Dumpling Queen," "Life Opens the Door," and "Hunting Gold: Game" leading the pre-sales [1][3] - Current pre-sale figures are lower compared to 2024, raising concerns about the final box office performance for this year's May Day season [1][3] Film Supply and Demand - A total of 11 films have opened for pre-sale this year, exceeding last year's numbers, with a diverse range of genres catering to different audience preferences [2] - Comedy films have been box office dark horses in previous May Day seasons, with notable releases this year including "The Vast Horizon is My Love" and "Life Opens the Door" [2] - The May Day season will also feature crime films like "Hunting Gold: Game" and "The Great Wind Kill," which have received positive recognition at the Beijing International Film Festival [2][3] Box Office Predictions - The first-day box office forecast for May 1, 2025, is projected to reach 213 million yuan, with "Dumpling Queen" expected to be the top performer [1][4] - "Princess Mononoke," a classic animated film, is set to debut in Chinese theaters, with a high audience rating of 8.9 on Douban [4] - Despite the variety of films, the overall scale of this year's offerings is primarily mid-to-small budget, making it challenging to break previous box office records [5] Market Dynamics - The re-release of "The Kowloon Walled City Siege," a previous box office success, aims to attract audiences who missed it initially, although its impact on overall box office performance may be limited [6] - The film industry is recovering to pre-pandemic production levels, but delays in post-production processes are leading to a shortage of new releases, which is expected to persist until 2026 [6]