新宝股份(002705)：外销高景气延续

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for Q1 2025, with significant growth in net profit driven by reduced fair value losses and strong export sales [1][3]. Financial Performance - Q1 2025: Revenue reached 3.834 billion (up 10.4% YoY), net profit attributable to shareholders was 247 million (up 43.0% YoY), and non-recurring net profit was 245 million (up 15.3% YoY) [1]. - Q4 2024: Revenue was 4.131 billion (up 6.2% YoY), net profit attributable to shareholders was 268 million (up 11.1% YoY), and non-recurring net profit was 287 million (up 47.5% YoY) [1]. - Full Year 2024: Revenue totaled 16.821 billion (up 14.8% YoY), net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.053 billion (up 7.7% YoY), and non-recurring net profit was 1.084 billion (up 8.8% YoY) [1]. Dividend and Share Buyback - The company announced a cash dividend of 4.5 per 10 shares (including tax), with a total dividend payout rate of 42%, consistent with the previous year [2]. Revenue Analysis - Q1 2025: Export sales were 2.98 billion (up 16% YoY), continuing strong growth, while domestic sales were 860 million (down 5% YoY) [4][5]. - Full Year 2024: Export and domestic sales grew by 22% and declined by 4% respectively, indicating strong overseas demand but weak domestic consumption [6]. Profitability Analysis - Q1 2025: Gross margin improved by 0.5 percentage points YoY and 3.0 percentage points QoQ, while net profit margin increased by 1.5 percentage points YoY [6]. - Full Year 2024: Gross margin and net profit margin decreased by 1.8 and 0.4 percentage points YoY respectively, attributed to increased export share and intensified domestic competition [6]. Investment Outlook - The company is expanding its OEM categories and maintaining strong export growth, with plans to enhance its overseas supply chain capabilities [7]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 19 billion, 20.9 billion, and 22.8 billion respectively, with net profits expected to be 1.2 billion, 1.3 billion, and 1.4 billion [7].