古井贡酒(000596)：业绩保持高增 一季度表现稳健

Core Viewpoint - Company reported strong financial performance for 2024 and Q1 2025, demonstrating resilience in a challenging industry environment [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 23.578 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.41%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.517 billion, up 20.22% [1] - For Q1 2025, total revenue reached 9.146 billion, reflecting a 10.38% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 2.330 billion, increasing by 12.78% [1] Product Performance - Revenue from different product lines in 2024: Yearly original liquor 18.086 billion (+17.31%), Gujing Gongjiu 2.241 billion (+11.17%), and Huanghelou and other liquors 2.538 billion (+15.08%) [2] - The company expects continued rapid growth for its Gu8 and Gu16 products [2] Market Performance - Revenue by region in 2024: Central China 20.151 billion (+17.80%), North China 1.979 billion (+7.40%), South China 1.426 billion (+11.16%), and international markets 0.022 billion (+2.87%) [2] - The company maintains a stronghold in its home market of Anhui, which remains a primary source of revenue growth [2] Channel Performance - In 2024, offline revenue was 22.806 billion (+16.81%) and online revenue was 0.772 billion (+5.81%) [2] - The number of distributors increased in various regions, with North China having 1,360 (+136), South China 661 (+68), Central China 3,041 (+238), and international markets 27 (+6) [2] Profitability and Cost Structure - The gross profit margin for 2024 improved by 0.83 percentage points to 79.90%, with net profit margin reaching 24.20%, an increase of 0.86 percentage points [3] - Operating cash flow showed a decline in Q1 2025, primarily due to a significant drop in cash received from operating activities [3] Future Outlook - The company aims for steady revenue growth in 2025, with projected revenues for 2025-2027 at 25.983 billion, 28.685 billion, and 31.927 billion respectively [4] - Expected net profits for the same period are 6.163 billion, 6.859 billion, and 7.592 billion, with corresponding EPS of 11.66, 12.98, and 14.36 [4]