Unveiling Live Nation (LYV) Q1 Outlook: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics

Core Viewpoint - Live Nation (LYV) is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.32 per share, a 39.6% increase in losses year-over-year, with revenues projected at $3.49 billion, reflecting an 8.3% decrease compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.1% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - The consensus estimate for 'Revenue- Concerts' is $2.51 billion, down 12.7% from the prior-year quarter [5]. - 'Revenue- Sponsorship & Advertising' is estimated at $216.47 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 2.4% [5]. - 'Revenue- Ticketing' is projected to reach $775.90 million, reflecting a 7.3% increase year-over-year [5]. Attendance and Ticketing Metrics - 'Concerts - Estimated fans - Total' is expected to reach 23.37 million, up from 22.93 million a year ago [6]. - 'Ticketing - Estimated number of fee-bearing tickets' is forecasted at 79.59 million, compared to 76.58 million last year [6]. - 'Concerts - Estimated events - Total' is projected at 11.75 million, an increase from 11.2 million year-over-year [7]. - 'Concerts - Estimated fans - North America' is expected to reach 11.15 million, up from 10.89 million in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Concerts - Estimated events - International' is estimated at 4.3 million, compared to 4.03 million last year [8]. - 'Concerts - Estimated events - North America' is projected at 7.51 million, an increase from 7.18 million year-over-year [8]. - 'Concerts - Estimated fans - International' is expected to be 12.57 million, up from 12.04 million last year [9]. - 'Ticketing - Estimated number of non-fee-bearing tickets' is forecasted at 84.7 million, compared to 78.43 million last year [9]. - 'Ticketing - Total estimated tickets sold' is projected to reach 164.34 million, an increase from 155.01 million year-over-year [10]. Stock Performance - Live Nation shares have changed by +2.1% in the past month, contrasting with a -0.8% move of the Zacks S&P 500 composite [10].