Mosaic (MOS) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?

Core Viewpoint - Mosaic (MOS) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.39, reflecting a 40$2.67 billion, down 0.5% from the same quarter last year [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for May 6, and the stock may rise if the actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.2% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight bullish sentiment among analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows a positive Earnings ESP of +15.82% for Mosaic, suggesting a higher likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [10][11]. - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [8]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Mosaic was expected to post earnings of $0.53 per share but only achieved$0.45, resulting in a surprise of -15.09% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, Mosaic has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [13]. Conclusion - While Mosaic is positioned as a potential earnings-beat candidate, other factors should also be considered when evaluating the stock ahead of its earnings release [16].