继峰股份(603997)2025年一季报点评:25Q1归母净利1.04亿元 业绩实现开门红

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong Q1 performance with a revenue of 5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.7%, but a significant increase in net profit to 104 million yuan, up 4.5 times year-on-year, indicating a turnaround from previous losses [1][2] Financial Performance - Q1 revenue was 5 billion yuan, down 4.7% year-on-year and 5.8% quarter-on-quarter - Net profit reached 104 million yuan, up 4.5 times year-on-year and turning profitable quarter-on-quarter - Gross margin stood at 16.3%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year and 3.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter - Operating expense ratio was 14.0%, down 0.4 percentage points year-on-year but up 1.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Regional Performance - Gramer's Q1 revenue was 490 million euros, down 12% year-on-year (2.2% when excluding TMD subsidiary data), but up 8.4% quarter-on-quarter - Operating EBIT was 19 million euros, up 3.9 times year-on-year and 83% quarter-on-quarter - Net profit was 9.7 million euros, consistent with forecasts, showing a turnaround from losses - EBIT margin by region: Europe at 4.6% (up 2.2 percentage points year-on-year), Asia-Pacific at 7.7% (up 0.1 percentage points year-on-year), and North America at -1.2% (up 2.8 percentage points year-on-year) [2] Production and Orders - Ideal L6 production in Q1 was 52,000 units, down 36% quarter-on-quarter due to the Spring Festival, with production recovering to 23,000 units in March - The launch of Lynk & Co 900 on April 28 saw over 10,000 pre-orders, indicating strong demand for high-ASP projects [3] Strategic Outlook - The company is well-prepared for strategic integration and profit release in 2025, with a robust order backlog of 21 projects as of February 2025 - R&D team expansion with an increase of approximately 175 personnel planned for 2024 - Domestic production bases are operational or under construction, with plans to expand into Europe and Southeast Asia - Projected revenue for passenger car seats in 2024 is 3.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.75 times, with a gross margin of 12.7% [4] Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to experience rapid growth in net profit from 610 million yuan in 2025 to 1.4 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 70% and 36% - Target market capitalization for 2026 is estimated between 18.8 billion to 21 billion yuan, with a target price range of 14.8 to 16.6 yuan, maintaining a "strong buy" rating [5]