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泰恩康(301263):业绩短期承压 看好中长期成长

Core Viewpoint - The company is facing significant pressure on its performance due to rising costs and declining revenues in certain segments, particularly in the two-sex health medication category, while showing potential growth in gastrointestinal medications [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 721 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.23%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 108 million yuan, down 32.45% year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 185 million yuan, a decline of 2.35%, and a net profit of 32 million yuan, down 30.62% year-on-year [1]. - The decline in profits is attributed to rapid growth in expenses, including management expenses of 75 million yuan (up 12.64% year-on-year) and R&D expenses of 86 million yuan (up 37.42% year-on-year) in 2024 [1]. Segment Performance - Revenue from two-sex health medications fell to 178 million yuan, a decrease of 20.87%, primarily due to intensified market competition [2]. - Revenue from gastrointestinal medications remained stable at 206 million yuan, with a slight increase of 1.04% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company is optimistic about the potential of its gastrointestinal medication, Hewei Zhengchang Wan, which has received acceptance for its production registration application and is expected to be approved within the year [2]. R&D Progress - The company has made significant progress in R&D, with several key developments: - The CKBA ointment for vitiligo has completed Phase II enrollment, with data expected in mid-2025 [2]. - The NDA for compound sodium sulfate tablets was accepted in November 2024, marking the first application in the country, with approval anticipated within the year [2]. - The company is also advancing in ophthalmic medications, with the sodium dichloride eye drops expected to be approved this year [2]. - In the two-sex health segment, the lidocaine and prilocaine aerosol has completed its first enrollment and is expected to submit an NDA within the year [2]. Earnings Forecast - Based on the 2024 annual report, the company has revised its revenue forecasts, projecting earnings per share of 0.33, 0.61, and 1.01 yuan for 2025-2027, respectively [3]. - The target price for the company is set at 22.77 yuan, based on a 69 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025 [3].