赛轮轮胎(601058)：业绩增长稳健 海外基地稳步推进

Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 31.802 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.4% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 4.06 billion yuan, up 31.4% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 3.99 billion yuan, an increase of 26.9% year-on-year [1] - For Q4 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 8.17 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 17.3% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.5% [1] Group 2: Tire Production and Sales - Global tire demand saw a slight increase, with total tire sales reaching 1.856 billion units in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 1.9% [2] - The company achieved a record high in tire production and sales, with annual tire production of 74.81 million units, up 27.6% year-on-year, and sales of 72.16 million units, an increase of 29.3% year-on-year [2] - In Q4 2024, tire production and sales were 20.18 million and 18.28 million units respectively, with a quarter-on-quarter increase and decrease [2] Group 3: Cost and Margin Analysis - In Q4 2024, the comprehensive procurement prices of key raw materials increased by 21.7% year-on-year and 7.6% quarter-on-quarter, leading to a slight decline in gross margin [3] - The gross margin for Q4 2024 was 25.3%, down 8.3 percentage points year-on-year and 2.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3] - For Q1 2025, the gross margin recorded was 24.7%, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.5 percentage points [3] Group 4: Capacity and Future Outlook - The company has planned production capacity of 27.65 million full steel radial tires, 106 million semi-steel radial tires, and 447,000 tons of non-road tires [3] - The company is expected to continue releasing performance capabilities as domestic and overseas bases ramp up production [3] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 project net profits of 4.61 billion, 5.66 billion, and 6.75 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 9, 7, and 6 times [3]