富格林：黑幕套路可信识破 超级数据周来袭

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices experienced a significant drop of nearly 1% on April 29, with spot gold falling to $3,317.25 per ounce, a decline of 0.81% after briefly dropping below the $3,300 mark [1] - The easing of trade tensions, particularly the U.S. government's softened stance on auto tariffs, has reduced the demand for safe-haven assets like gold, leading to a rebound in the U.S. dollar [1][2] - Despite short-term pressures on gold prices, long-term demand for gold as a safe-haven asset remains strong due to ongoing uncertainties in trade policies and economic indicators [3] Group 2: Economic Indicators and Predictions - Key economic indicators show concerning trends, with the consumer confidence index falling to a five-year low and job vacancies decreasing by 288,000 in March [2] - Goldman Sachs has revised its GDP forecast, predicting a contraction of 0.8% for the first quarter, indicating potential economic slowdown [2] - The Federal Reserve officials are open to interest rate cuts if economic risks become apparent, but they prefer to assess the impact of trade policies on inflation and employment first [3] Group 3: Oil Market Dynamics - International oil prices fell sharply, with WTI crude dropping 2.84% to $59.93 per barrel and Brent crude down 2.48% to $63 per barrel, influenced by concerns over global demand due to trade tensions [5] - OPEC+ is considering increasing production, which could exacerbate supply-demand imbalances in the oil market amid declining demand forecasts [7] - U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 3.8 million barrels, significantly higher than the expected increase of 400,000 barrels, raising concerns about supply excess [7]