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海天味业(603288):龙头优势凸显 利润略超预期

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q1 2025 earnings, with revenue meeting expectations and profit slightly exceeding expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders were 8.32 billion and 2.20 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 8.1% and 14.8% [1] - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025-2027, predicting net profits of 7.10 billion, 8.00 billion, and 8.88 billion yuan for those years, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.0%, 12.7%, and 10.9% [1] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 33.2, 29.5, and 26.6 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [1] Group 2: Revenue Growth - In Q1 2025, revenue from soy sauce, seasoning sauce, and oyster sauce grew by 8.2%, 14.0%, and 6.1%, respectively, while other product categories saw a year-on-year increase of 20.8% [2] - Offline channel revenue grew by 9.0% year-on-year, while online channel revenue surged by 43.2% due to the company's initiatives in new retail channels and empowering distributors to sell on Douyin [2] - Revenue growth was observed across all regions, with southern, eastern, western, central, and northern regions experiencing year-on-year growth of 16.1%, 14.2%, 9.4%, 7.9%, and 5.8%, respectively [2] Group 3: Profitability Improvement - The company's gross margin improved by 2.73 percentage points year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching 36.9%, while the net profit margin increased by 1.48 percentage points to 24.7% [2] - The improvement in gross margin was primarily due to a decrease in raw material costs and the release of scale effects, with reduced discounts also contributing to the margin increase [2] - The company expects overall expense ratios to remain relatively stable, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios showing slight year-on-year changes [3]